Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[WxWatch]

It's not cold enough to support snowfall on the 12z CMC, the highest elevations may get something out of it. Still, lots of time for better trends. The Euro and CMC are doing really well so far with the system around the 20th or so. The 0z Euro has light back side snow for a good bit of folks in the southeast.

 

[whatalife]

12z CMC, it's looking better and better.

Two things...
1. It’s the CMC you are using...
2. No cold air...


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[Tarheel1]

The Big dogs hit with a pattern going in or coming out

I’m dreaming of a white Christmas, just like the ones we never have...!!! But January about to be lit... not!

 

[Storm5]

This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above

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[1300m]

This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above

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Agreed!

 

[ForsythSnow]

This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above

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Definitely something close. There seems to be a weak signal for some system around Christmas with the FV3 and GFS at the moment. Let's see if the Euro agrees in a few hours.

 

[whatalife]

This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above

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Bingo!


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If we could substitute that High over Louisiana with that Low east of NY we’d be in business!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Agreed!

It’s close for some. How do phasers work out for areas east of the mountains?

 

[1300m]

It’s close for some. How do phasers work out for areas east of the mountains?

I'm more just looking at the potential for a clipper around Christmas for some light snows (6z FV3 was close just need more digging). In that setup a phase would likely be too warm for most east of the mountains (potential backside snow if things worked out right but that'd be about it most likely).

 

[deltadog03]

This is far more interesting than the one being discussed above

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That honestly has potential written all over it.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Damn @Brent why is your snow over in Lubbock now? smh

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I'm more just looking at the potential for a clipper around Christmas for some light snows (6z FV3 was close just need more digging). In that setup a phase would likely be too warm for most east of the mountains (potential backside snow if things worked out right but that'd be about it most likely).

We had a hybrid clipper here last year that worked out for a lot of people. Upstate included. Curious to
see how that energy in the gulf comes into play

 

[whatalife]

That honestly has potential written all over it.

You mean when it comes together like this...



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[Jessy89]

We had a hybrid clipper here last year that worked out for a lot of people. Upstate included. Curious to
see how that energy in the gulf comes into play

You must be talking about that February snow. Think most the upstate saw 1-3 from that one


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[RollTide18]

You mean when it comes together like this...



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No cold air though

 

[whatalife]

No cold air though

Bingo! But that has more potential imo...


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[TheBatman]

That honestly has potential written all over it.

Here you go. Lol ?
https://youtu.be/-0PTYje5AIE

 

[Storm5]

No cold air though

Much better cold source vs the one before it


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[GeorgiaGirl]

FV3 was close again for Christmas. Seems like we might just be watching to see if we can get a beefed up clipper from what I saw on H5 (and for my purposes I'd want it to start beefing up a little quicker), but we'll see how it looks at around hour 240.