12z CMC has the idea, too strong of a northern stream, it's shearing out that energy down across the GOM, keeping it from developing into a healthy low. Of course, the looks of this will change. Look how soild that western ridge is though, if any low does develop, it would definitely would be a text book Miller A, or a southern slider. The storm could amp up as well, depending on if there will be any high latitude blocking. It's possible the PNA could have a massive positive spike over the coming days.