B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Keeping an eye for that system around Christmas. Fantastic Version 3 showed some potential fun, and I think it is gunning to be the new king.
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Wrap it up, put a bow on it!?
Round Oak Weather
Member
Around Christmas i think we have a good shot at something for the SE now if it’s rain or snow to be determined gotta have the system otherwise the cold won’t matter. Right now system nxt up the cold
Should be a good number of low 20's and teens tonight, especially over the snow pack, some mid teens probably not out of the question.... first bitter cold night of the year.
How much melting have you had today ?
Ground is still covered, maybe an inch or two but still several inches in the shade..
dsaur
Member
Got the low running underneath, some cold pressing down, just need the low under the panhandle, and get it all timed up and it's another Xmas storm 
Plenty of time to switch the "ifs" to "ares", lol. So what's that, like two times in 100 years to get an inch or more in here on Xmas day? Odds are picking up T
Plenty of time to switch the "ifs" to "ares", lol. So what's that, like two times in 100 years to get an inch or more in here on Xmas day? Odds are picking up TBHS1975
Member
12z fv3 says merry torchmas.
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pcbjr
Member
Well let's see ...
Negative EPO, Negative AO, Positive PNA ... what could be the fly in the ointment?
Maybe a Positive NAO (but blocking isn't so crucial nationwide; the models are showing warm coast to coast, so the the NAO is really a non-player this go-around).
The real fly, IMHO, is again the tropics half way across the world ... our old MJO friend with no good mojo ...
40s and 50s , looks seasonal to me . Plus look at the swings the FV3s has in the long range the last 6 cycles . These wild swings will continue
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s long as we continue to roll through phases 3 and 4, normal to above normal temps for us, we will be all good by Christmas week.
I’m interested in knowing the type of weather Alaska was having during super El Niño’s. I really think it is good for the southeast if the Bay of Alaska is above average temps. Also during super El Niño’s we didn’t fare as well. Western ridges has been great so far this year and looking at Weeklies, I like what I see for January.
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whatalife
Moderator
Hello there
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pcbjr
Member
What a perfect spot. Gonna be a fun last part of the month going into January.Hello there
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The warm nose is the worst. I can't get over how the apex of the curve of the southern part of the snow line hits SE Wake perfectly. I mean, had it been pretty much a straight line from the 9.1 to the 2.6, we would have probably had 3-4", which would have been easy to live with. I literally went less than 3 miles north (it was probably more like 2) and they had a good 3" on the ground.
The amount of energy thrown around on the FV3 is ridiculous. Good luck on resolving any of that beyond 200 hours.
Yup, I was looking at it earlier, it's a mess and so many things going on. At least it still has that Gulf low.