Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[Philstorm91]

I got NAM'ed lol alao likely 40 mph wind gusts

View attachment 9047

Woah that's bringing the goods closer to home!

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

 

[Round Oak Weather]

The 18z FV3 is very interesting. After the big possible phaser next week, it repeats the same senario almost twice more. Once more about three days later and again near Christmas. If this becomes the theme as it gets colder again, we wont make it.

Wasn’t this last storm a cutter that trended south?

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Wasn’t this last storm a cutter that trended south?

Yes it was and if I recall, the GFS / FV3 was the first to pick up on it.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Actually, the FV3 showed a winter storm, then was cutting consistently while other models were south, then eventually I think on the day we started the storm thread for this previous winter storm, it pumped out an absolute weenie clown map and pretty much locked into a SE winter storm the rest of the way.

It showed the winter storm at HR 384, btw lmao.

 

[pcbjr]

EPO looks to go negative, PNA a raging positive, AO way down ... and every forecast is for a warm 2nd half of the month ... what could go (be) wrong? Maybe MJO phases 4 and 5 ...

 

[WxWatch]

Holy tamolie those temps are cooking! But I like where the end of the run goes.

Yeah but, those temps won't be cooking if there was a phase. #BringOnThePhase

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This winter is going to be full of stress/excitement, all these potential and likely storms

 

[TheBatman]

The 18z FV3 is very interesting. After the big possible phaser next week, it repeats the same senario almost twice more. Once more about three days later and again near Christmas. If this becomes the theme as it gets colder again, we wont make it.

Yea here it is.

 

[Brent]

Hmmmm :weenie:

 

[Storm5]

Hmmmm :weenie:

View attachment 9064

Lock it up !!! We should start a thread for you


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Brent]

Lock it up !!! We should start a thread for you


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Lol!

News started teasing it... storm cancel

 

[Rain Cold]

Hopefully southern Wake County gets a nice winter storm soon. You guys are due. Southeastern Wake has probably received less than half of the snowfall that Northwestern Wake has in the past few years. I'm not expecting anything for the next 2-3 weeks but maybe you'll get another chance in January.

Thanks! I hope we get a good one this winter!

 

[TheBatman]

Lol!

News started teasing it... storm cancel

Could Oklahoma have 2 nam bust in a week. Lol

 

[Brent]

Could Oklahoma have 2 nam bust in a week. Lol

I was thinking the same thing lol

 

[SoutheastRidge]

I was thinking the same thing lol

If the NAM is still showing this tomorrow I am starting a storm thread !

 

[Brent]

If the NAM is still showing this tomorrow I am starting a storm thread !

these cold cores are so sneaky, go big or go bust basically

but this one gonna have 40-50 mph wind gusts possibly too

 

[TheBatman]

I think @Brent is going to like the fvs-gfs snow map. Lol

 

[Brent]

I think @Brent is going to like the fvs-gfs snow map. Lol View attachment 9066

Lets get that 11 inches more NE lmao
Go big or go home :weenie:

I actually don't get much if that map verifies being NE of Dallas

Gonna be a difficult forecast

 

[Tarheel1]

Rain cold, I got about 1 1/2 inch of sleet out of about 3.2” of qpf!! Temp was 34 degrees at lowest point! What could have been......?
The stickage and accums on the roads especially, were very impressive for a 34-37 degree sleet event! Rates did overcome !!!

 

[Ilovesnow28]

View attachment 9067 Hmmm could it finally be a winter storm for us in the deep South