12z GFS, disurbance is in the Gulf, maybe we'll get a phase within the next several runs. Man, such a good look for a big winter storm setting up.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
I'm ready for the next one! The pattern looks like it will get active again in a couple of weeks. I could see getting another storm between Christmas and the New Year.
Brent
Member
Lol. Sure its fake news but first good clown map here in a bit
It's only 4 days away so I doubt it will change much in that short time frame. Right ?
Brent
Member
its another cold core like what happened to give 10 inches to Lubbock so who knows
track may be more favorable to us this time but temps are a concern
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Only four days away. This might be a nice surprise. Has snow for 99% of NC.
I think that's from additional snow today, I don't see any model showing any frozen precip for NC after this for the next 7-10 days except maybe the models.
Brent
Member
I believe that's the current storm, the Friday cold core is almost solely rain outside of the small area near here
Tarheelwx
Member
FV3 shows "snow" at 102 for mountains and prime cad areas of NC. It all gets washed away though.
TW
TW
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Got it. I think we'll have to wait until after Christmas for the next shot.
pcbjr
Member
Not bad at all for 1:45 in the afternoon on a day in the 1st one-third of December ... 
Sitting at 24 degrees here at 2pm !Not bad at all for 1:45 in the afternoon on a day in the 1st one-third of December ...
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Fountainguy97
Member
Well hello there euro. Nice to see you
Taking a look at the teleconnections, for now, the PNA is projected to remain slightly positive, could spike more positively as December 20th (or so comes around)
The cold will "relax" some, but by the looks of the AO, it could be around netrual to a neg. AO by the time that possible Gulf low comes around.
If there will be a Gulf low, that brings snow, the track needs to start northwest of the Yucatan Peninsula (about central GOM) and track through central FL, up the east coast - a text book Miller A. No warm noses! We'll need to really pay attention to those heights as well. I'm excited for this time period.
The cold will "relax" some, but by the looks of the AO, it could be around netrual to a neg. AO by the time that possible Gulf low comes around.
If there will be a Gulf low, that brings snow, the track needs to start northwest of the Yucatan Peninsula (about central GOM) and track through central FL, up the east coast - a text book Miller A. No warm noses! We'll need to really pay attention to those heights as well. I'm excited for this time period.
Yea the low is in a perfect spot. Just gotta have some cold air to go with it. It would be a lot of people on here get a nice snowstorm.Taking a look at the teleconnections, for now, the PNA is projected to remain slightly positive, could spike more positively as December 20th (or so comes around)
The cold will "relax" some, but by the looks of the AO, it could be around netrual to a neg. AO by the time that possible Gulf low comes around.
If there will be a Gulf low, that brings snow, the track needs to start northwest of the Yucatan Peninsula (about central GOM) and track through central FL, up the east coast - a text book Miller A. No warm noses! We'll need to really pay attention to those heights as well. I'm excited for this time period.
It's nice to have a December that actually feels like a winter month. Three years ago you could add 30 degrees to that in the eastern half of the US and it would probably be fairly accurate.Not bad at all for 1:45 in the afternoon on a day in the 1st one-third of December ...
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whatalife
Moderator
GEFS says good luck with your snowstorm. Hopefully it will change.
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