Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[ForsythSnow]

It’s obvious a storm thread needs to be made. This has been a real signal for a couple days, and we are 138 hours out from impacts for people on our board which is inside 6 days!


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That came up fast. Let's give Brick until the Euro finishes and then I'd say first one to start the thread gets to.

After the recent runs, I'm all aboard this one. Not hoping for an ice storm but more of a mixed bag would be reasonable. That is unless we can somehow get the low further south and bring the snow across all of the upper SE.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Well i know I’m not getting in on this. I live about 40 miles south of Columbia, SC. Oh well.

Same here I live in Santee SC the southern midlands I know the chances of CAD making it here is slim.

 

[Tarheel1]

At this lead time, hell, any lead time Brad P jumping in with both feet!!!
Wow!!

 

[Avalanche]

That is still a low probability map for Greensboro/Forsyth Co. areas. IMO

 

[Bryce Shelton]

Same here I live in Santee SC the southern midlands I know the chances of CAD making it here is slim.

You live in Orangeburg county too? I’m in the far western part, close to Aiken county.

 

[Avalanche]

Jon, Webber, 1300 etc, a map posted earlier appeared to show the storm going negative tilt in SC. If that's the case, WAA would take over central NC.

That would also eliminate the Miller Bish look of earlier

 

[ForsythSnow]

GEFS mean

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Same here I live in Santee SC the southern midlands I know the chances of CAD making it here is slim.

Are you near Lake Marion ?

 

[Kylo]

This storm is turning into the Mack special. For 6 days out and 5" mean, really impressive.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs nice for cad areas still

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Are you near Lake Marion ?

Yes. My dad have house on Lake Marion.

 

[Avalanche]

This storm is turning into the Mack special. For 6 days out and 5" mean, really impressive.

View attachment 7942

3.5 inch mean for Chatham Co. I'll take it.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

GEFS mean

Is that an increase from 6z?

 

[Avalanche]

Gefs nice for cad areas still

Agree, that's why I thought Brad P's map for Gso/HP/Winston Salem was low.

 

[Avalanche]

Blowing Rock and nearby areas blew up on the GFS ensemble.

 

[Broken024]

New gfs still on crack

 

[Avalanche]

New gfs still on crack
View attachment 7943

Oh, if only..........

 

[accu35]

once again I'm a little late posting, but south trend continues

 

[Storm5]

All in on this stupid model. Merry Christmas from Southernwx everyone wins the prize of snow !!!

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[Snowfan]

Hey everyone, the storm thread is created.http://southernwx.com/community/threads/possible-dec-8-9-winter-event.469/