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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

A SAV airport low of 35 this morning, several degrees below normal.
 
SSW update: graph now through 12/24 and it shows 10 hPa anomalies warmed vs 24 hours earlier from +10 to +15 and further up in the strat. warmed from +16 to +20. With 4 more days of potential warming from 12/24, this is meeting expectations. Assuming 10 hPa reaches +28 (brown), which is still expected, this will become easily the strongest SSW in 10 years. Then we can see if it can make it to gray (+32+):

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_OND_NH_2018.png

The GFS is still pretty much on track with still another 15+ C degrees of warming projected at 10 hPa (60-90N) and it has the bulk of the strong warming lingering longer than previous days all the way til almost New Year’s:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/SSW/gif_files/gfs_16day_fcst_T10.png
 
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John Cessarich is calling for between 1” and 4” of rain here between tomorrow and Saturday. Thanks John, that really narrows it down
 
I’m not going to sugarcoat this. It’s cold as sh*t. Stout breeze is making it worse. If I didn’t know any better I would think it was 28 degrees outside
 
Just happened to check my PWS stats for the month and my mouth dropped... recorded almost a foot(11.81" to be exact) of rain so far this month. What in hell? Several stations around me surpassed a foot so far this month. Unreal.
 
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