Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[Webberweather53]

What's your temp/DP?

50 over 47. ???

 

[Deleted member 1449]

I'm further east. That looks like it's near @Poimen @EV_WS and @smast16's house.

There were some flurries in Stokes county (one county north of here). I saw the video to confirm on Twitter. At least some in NC saw some flakes today.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Wonder what the member showing 2" is seeing? Haha.

Here are some of the individual members .. showing some solid back end precip .. would be interesting but idk long shot right?

 

[FallsLake]

Not bad for RAH:

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1015 AM Monday...

Water vapor satellite showed the first of two troughs for today
exiting the area. Radar displayed most showers have also moved into
eastern NC, with patchy areas of drizzle lingering across the
region. The second upper trough is currently moving across eastern
TN, and will traverse across central NC this afternoon and evening.
Additional showers will develop this afternoon across the region as
the trough approaches the area, with the greatest coverage of
showers closer to the NC/SC border. Although today will be a quite
chilly day, with highs ranging from the upper 30s N to near 50 S,
precipitation through this afternoon will be liquid. However,
chances of frozen precip, or a mix of frozen and liquid, will
develop this evening as a weak surface cold front pushes across the
area. High-res models have been consistent with developing isolated
showers across portions of the Piedmont and southern Coastal Plain
this evening along the front, and model soundings look to be cold
enough for areas near and north of the Triangle to observe some
snowflakes (best chances near the VA border). Surface temps will be
right around freezing as precip is falling, therefore no frozen
accumulation is expected. Bridges may become a little icy overnight
where roads remain wet and temps fall into the 20s. Lingering
northwesterly winds behind the front may keep the atmosphere mixed
enough in some places to only lower temps to the low 30s overnight,
however sheltered areas should radiationally cool to the mid to
upper 20s as skies clear behind the front.

&&

 

[Deleted member 1449]

I just got back from a run and I thought I saw one renegade flake but since I only saw one it was probably something else. Dandruff ?

 

[Metwannabe]

Temp down to 34 and is the radar deceiving me but looks like decent redevelopment just to my west

 

[smast16]

What's your temp? I'm at 36 in Hillsborough, was hoping that maybe this could produce a few flakes if it made it here, but maybe not....

39 here. It did light spitting drizzle for a minute, and if you wished hard enough you could believe it was wet flakes.

 

[Webberweather53]

Temp down to 34 and is the radar deceiving me but looks like decent redevelopment just to my west

Dang 34? yeah you're probably about to score

 

[smast16]

I just got back from a run and I thought I saw one renegade flake but since I only saw one it was probably something else. Dandruff ?

Dust. Lol. I saw it too. Its Christmas time so I'm gonna #believeinmiracles

 

[Metwannabe]

Dang 34? yeah you're probably about to score

And dang Henderson is down to 32

 

[Webberweather53]

And dang Henderson is down to 32

Has to be snowing or had snowed there.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I just got back from a run and I thought I saw one renegade flake but since I only saw one it was probably something else. Dandruff ?

HAHAHA I actually relate to this so much sometimes you’re looking so hard that your Brian creates what you want to see ... happened too me many times before ... I think it’s the weenie membrane in the brain that kicks in

 

[Metwannabe]

Has to be snowing or had snowed there.

Yeah you would think so but haven't seen any reports of any just yet

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Down to 37 here in Raleigh near the PNC arena ... I’m licking my lips for that band models are showing .. I know it’s just a fantasy .. but one can hope

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Has to be snowing around here, reflectivity has smoothed out and picked up

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Has to be snowing around here, reflectivity has smoothed out and picked up View attachment 56088

Correlation coefficients seem to show what you're talking about .. definitely seems to be some sort of mischief up there

 

[Webberweather53]

Has to be snowing around here, reflectivity has smoothed out and picked up View attachment 56088

Widespread surface temp readings in the low-mid 30s up there, given the setup, sfc temps, & radar I also strongly suspect that it's actually snowing &/or at least a rain/snow mix in parts of Vance, Warren, & Halifax counties rn

 

[Metwannabe]

I have got to schedule my work from home days better....

 

[Webberweather53]

We're gonna have to rely almost solely on @metwannabe if we want ground truth out of that band, still not even a single mPING report

 

[Metwannabe]

We're gonna have to rely almost solely on @metwannabe if we want ground truth out of that band, still not even a single mPING report

Problem...... where I'm at and where I wish I was