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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

This morning was actually our coldest from the Siberian express, 14.4, solid ~20 degree temp drop since our high today around 4pm. A look at the past several days temp wise just west of PGV.

8CF96D2B-2410-4B6C-918D-8120695FDB7D.jpeg
 
FV3 still looks the most realistic so far.
fv3-hires_ref_frzn_seus_12.png
 
possible flurries to a quarter of an inch of snow is not really a bust. The air is dry and coverage is not widespread to be able to forecast for all backyards. They should have just said little to no accumulation.

They said in morning update it still looked like zero impacts were likely, and some grassy areas mainly in elevated areas might see some accumulation less than .01

Then added that they may need to do more frequent updates if changes occurred. Welp, it started snowing pretty solidly around 1 pm, was accumulating before 2 and they didn't issue a WWA or even do another update till 3pm when there were already travel issues all over the area. Now, all of the roads have major impacts and people are stuck on them at night.

Also, most everywhere will end up with almost an inch or more.

Personally, I'm calling this one a pretty firm bust on NWS Huntsville and modeling.
 
Hrrr may be trying to come back around to the finger of precip from earlier runs? Still shows nothing for GA and we see how that has turned out so maybe we have a shot?
 

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