• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December 2023

I may have to reactivate the tropical thread

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_us_49.png




ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_us_50.png
 
Wild how that’s a perfect track for the mountains but absolutely no cold air for them either
 
The GFS has been inland for a couple days now, while Can and Euro have been consistently off the coast. GFS was late to the game with this past weekends event and advertised a far western track before correcting back east. Interesting to see which suite nails this one down and that may be a trend to keep in mind if we ever do get to track a legit threat this season.

Canadian is the closest to helping the mtn folk out

prateptype-imp.us_ma.png
 
The GFS has been inland for a couple days now, while Can and Euro have been consistently off the coast. GFS was late to the game with this past weekends event and advertised a far western track before correcting back east. Interesting to see which suite nails this one down and that may be a trend to keep in mind if we ever do get to track a legit threat this season.

Canadian is the closest to helping the mtn folk out

prateptype-imp.us_ma.png
If I had to make a guess the path will be somewhere in the middle between the GFS and EURO. GSP noted that there has been fairly clear trend towards the GFS suite though the GEFS mean keeps the track just off shore. I’m definitely going to watch it. The wife and I are going up to Biltmore on Saturday and coming back Sunday afternoon. If the 850s trend the right way up there, it might be worth staying and extra day.
 
I give it a couple of weeks before the -NAO makes a return. Really no sign of a strong vortex coming back anytime soon. I’d watch the evolution of those pacific waves undercutting the SE can ridge/ block around/past Christmas, and the Atlantic trough it may start to feed into. weak vortex just increases the odds2E32D359-A153-4B56-9038-BF722E9BD9C4.png7B26D9FE-32F2-4F1D-9EB4-42F76D579A0D.png
 
Last edited:
Back
Top