Pattern December 2023

[WSW]

Going to be on Whitetop mountain for the rain to snow transition tomorrow!

Good choice. Easy to get to. Should get some nice accumulation there.

 

[Rain Cold]

18z GFS going to bring it!

 

[EmersonGA]

18z GFS going to bring it!

Heat? Drought?

 

[FallsLake]

We take what we can get.

From RAH:
Precipitation: Confidence is increasing that rainfall totals could
be in the 2-2.5 inch range by the end of the event, with anomalously
high PWATs of 1.4 to 1.6 inches. While there is still a Marginal
risk for isolated flash flooding, the system still appears fairly
progressive and training of storms are not anticipated. Best chances
for isolated flash flooding will generally be over the urban areas
and areas of poor drainage. Lastly, have introduced a slight chance
for a brief period of snow mixing in with the rain as the system
lifts out Sun night. Confidence is relatively low, but the chance is
there nonetheless. No impacts or accumulation expected.

 

[Rain Cold]

Heat? Drought?

A nice long range pattern. ❄

 

[Chazwin]

Too many of those on the East Coast last few years. Except last year of course. I'd be fine with upper 30's/low 40's and upper teens low 20's at night.

I have a feel that might be pushing it this year. Something tells me to have the grill ready for Christmas Day this year.

 

[BullCityWx]

I think I’ve got a fair to middlin shot at seeing some snow flakes on my way to campus on Monday

Upgrading to looking better

 

[Chazwin]

Hmmm… GSP seems to be buying into the NAM some. They’ve added a chance of snow to my point forecast between 5-8am Monday morning.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Would be insane to get something like this in a crap pattern. Pants buster forsure

 

[Webberweather53]

Chinook winds moment in Alberta.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

View attachment 138449
Would be insane to get something like this in a crap pattern. Pants buster forsure

for your location only pretty much

 

[LukeBarrette]

for your location only pretty much

I’ll invite everyone up

 

[WSW]

View attachment 138449
Would be insane to get something like this in a crap pattern. Pants buster forsure

Yep. Whitetop, Burkes Garden, Mountain Lake, take your pick.

 

[Brick Tamland]

We take what we can get.

From RAH:
Precipitation: Confidence is increasing that rainfall totals could
be in the 2-2.5 inch range by the end of the event, with anomalously
high PWATs of 1.4 to 1.6 inches. While there is still a Marginal
risk for isolated flash flooding, the system still appears fairly
progressive and training of storms are not anticipated. Best chances
for isolated flash flooding will generally be over the urban areas
and areas of poor drainage. Lastly, have introduced a slight chance
for a brief period of snow mixing in with the rain as the system
lifts out Sun night. Confidence is relatively low, but the chance is
there nonetheless. No impacts or accumulation expected.

Would be wild to have severe weather and snow from the same system. I'll take anything this early.

 

[DopplerWx]

Hmmm… GSP seems to be buying into the NAM some. They’ve added a chance of snow to my point forecast between 5-8am Monday morning.

Same here in Matthews ?

 

[ATLwxfan]

Phase 7,8 are what we want correct?

Dec 22 is early compared to other MJO forecasts. Probably more like the 28th or later.


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[ATLwxfan]

View attachment 138426

DT’s video this weak was about as bleak as I’ve ever seen. Euro has consistently pointed to better fortunes in January and beyond. GFS not so much.


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[NCSNOW]

Its the 18z nam and 10:1 ratio. False advertising,but can give a clue where one might scrap out a hard enough rate at tail end to get some flakes in the air.

 

[NCSNOW]

0z latest. Dont hold your breathe.

 

[Tarheel1]

Yeah, my number one hope is not to have a warm/muggy Christmas.

Christmas of ‘87 was warm , very warm, and rainy! ???