Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Icon warm bias in play!
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
ICON laying down some heavy snow in WNC this run. Big improvement.
The ICON precip maps on Tidbits do not seem right...29F and rain in western NC does not make sense. That has to be either sleet, snow or freezing rain.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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With 40 degree temps?
Honestly this far out on 12z Icon and temps already in lower 40s this storm will get colder as we get closer.
Icon very healthy looking backside precip across Mississippi and Alabama. If it does have a warm bias, then that could be 1-2 inches of snowfall and more to the north.
JLL1973
Member
icon puts me under what looks like a deformation band. probably wont verify but its nice to look at
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Nope. In upper 20s actually when bulk of storm is overhead.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Remember, ICON on tidbits doesn't have sleet/ice, just snow and rain.
Much better run than 12z yesterday 
I think it is struggling to pick up sleet which is why it shows rain in much of NC despite subfreezing temps. But this ICON is a step in the right direction
Jessy89
Member
That's only 60 hours out
GeorgiaGirl
Member
No, it just doesn't show sleet/ice at all on the ICON on tidbits. I think other sites would show the ice.
Yea because I noticed on back side 2m Temps in Columbia SC is in lower 30s which would be great for snow with secondary low.
look at 2m temps on the Icon. . 12+ hours of frozen on the backend over your house
Storm5
Member
I’m starting to dig this secondary Low!
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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2017-2023 Supporter
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Don’t! That’s snow , with sun visible thru the clouds
BlueRidgeFolklore
Member
Look at the Forecast Hour.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Icon would likely bring backside snow to some of us GA posters
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Looking at the ICON, while it starts out warm, it starts crashing. I gotta think if it had it, there'd be ice down into the upstate but it doesn't.
Jessy89
Member
I’m sorry I didn’t catch that
GFS has the high 1 mb stronger.
Jessy89
Member
Almost a inch down to I 85
packfan98
Moderator
Guys, the ICON has steadily improved. That was a good run for the low placement. The temps have been trending colder over the past few runs at both the surface and aloft.
Do some research before posting random maps. Troll posts will be deleted.
Do some research before posting random maps. Troll posts will be deleted.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
ICON improved, and so did the other model runs so far today. Yesterday we had good runs during the day, and they were not good last night. Hope the positive runs continue. Really interested in what the Euro shows today.
After that run of the ICON I feel like 12z runs will be much improved from 24 hours ago. I’m a glutton for punishment 
Sandstorm94
Member
Out to hr60, cold press looks a little better but the LP is more NW of 6z...
I am honestly praying this storm don’t think no shift North.. I will probably lose it.. time is here for models to start to catch on to an idea.
That's another huge improvement on the ICON and imo it seems to do a horrible job with temps.... 1040 hp in that location, that lp track, yeah temps will be colder
GFs has our southern wave stronger moving into Baja..
Cary_Snow95
Member
Looks quite a bit weaker to me
Hopefully, there will be some snow cover up there to reduce modification.
Storm5
Member
Weaker , stronger , north , south lol the play by play
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's definitely more diffusive looking/flatter this run but a smidge slower if anything.
Good grief are we still a week out? Seems like weve been a week out for 5 days now !
Yeah hopefully but in the end for you and I this just basically means the rn/sn line will get close enough to smell it... lol. I'm not expecting much my way honestly but then again I've seen CAD over perform or either models severely underplayed them and end up with a nice surprise.