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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Easy to see why the CAD high was weaker this run, notice the s/w over Iowa at day 6 and how much more aptly timed our southern stream wave is to the backend of the preceding northern stream disturbance on the 12z run from yesterday afternoon. Details like this won't be resolved for at least a few more days but still looks good in any case for traditional CAD areas.

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Even still, a 1035 high over Pennsylvania is friggin amazing.
 
I wouldn’t be too worried about that with the low being further south. I wouldn’t start worrying about temps till 2-3 days out. It will go back and forth.
We have a good track for the low. That’s is a very good thing... I was more worried about the track then anything at this point in the game. The accumulation maps are pretty to look at and everything. But they don’t mean nothing until you really get within 3 days.
 
Easy to see why the CAD high was weaker this run, notice the s/w over Iowa at day 6 and how much more aptly timed our southern stream wave is to the backend of the preceding northern stream disturbance on the 12z run from yesterday afternoon. Details like this won't be resolved for at least a few more days but still looks good in any case for traditional CAD areas.

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View attachment 8049


Even still, a 1035 high over Pennsylvania is friggin amazing.
The low still seem further south, cold air was lacking.. as long as we continue with the south trend on low. CAD areas will be worked out as we get closer.
 
The earlier GEFS low track is about as perfect as you can ask for in regards to a Deep South Winter Storm. I just don’t understand why the cold air isn’t coming down this way into Central Alabama.

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Also the system slow down some which hurt things some. But it will go back and forth until we starting getting a clearer solution I say around about hour 84. (Within 3-4 days)
 
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