Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[snowlover91]

Alright guys... I think the FV3 is going to rival the Euro in regards to accuracy and track. It's been rock steady for awhile now with this storm like the Euro with only small shifts and now the 12km NAM looks remarkably similar to what the Euro/FV3 are showing.

 

[ForsythSnow]

View attachment 8799
I think this counts as a win for the fv3. It picked up on this storm at hour 384. Although the set up is slightly different with a 1045 high over the Great Lakes. If only...


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Wow too bad it didn't stay all the way down. If it showed this more than once then I'm all eyes on it the rest of the winter. Maybe we are calling it bad when it's really a great model. Maybe this is the model we've all been waiting for.

 

[Storm5]

Can we please stay on topic . We can discuss model performance later


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[FamouslyHot]

NAM clown map. Don’t know where you guys get the separate maps for ZR otherwise I’d post that.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

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@Tarheel1 if you can smell the rain, it’s raining!

 

[ForsythSnow]

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NAM clown map. Don’t know where you guys get the separate maps for ZR otherwise I’d post that.


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Pivotalweather.com
Here's the kuchera that's creeping it's way south and west. Pretty much a 1 county leap in each direction.

 

[Tarheel1]

Nerds! Lol

 

[ATLwxfan]

NAM weaker on the backend at Hr 60


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[snowlover91]

Here is the 12z NAM

Here is the 6z FV3 for close to the same timeframe, very good agreement now.

 

[drfranklin]

mod sleet here and 42

 

[Storm5]

Wow that’s a lot of freezing rain . Holy crap


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[Tarheel1]

@Tarheel1 if you can smell the rain, it’s raining!

Chris J - “ it wiggled”

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’m expecting 1” of wet slop but you can’t help but wonder about the bust potential for this storm for areas further south. Certainly moving in that direction with mesoscale models. I mean right now I’m at 40 with full cloud cover..

 

[SD]

Nam is all snow here through 15z sunday. Probably a good 3-7 inch event for the area.

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[GaStorm]

Pivotalweather.com

Wish we could change that to a snow/sleet mix instead. Crazy how northeastern Forsyth is getting hammered with ZR and the southwestern part of the county is just a light glaze.

 

[deltadog03]

Here it comes

 

[ForsythSnow]

Wouldn't this be super close to snow?

 

[deltadog03]

Wouldn't this be super close to snow?
View attachment 8810

I would argue it's possible. And if we can cool a bit more, boom

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Wow that’s a lot of freezing rain . Holy crap


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Ice even Into the Midlands of SC where forecaster not even talking about ice.

 

[ForsythSnow]

I would argue it's possible. And if we can cool a bit more, boom

That's what i was thinking. I mentioned this yesterday talking about a long shot of break off pockets of a column capable of supporting snow and It looks like it very well may happen.