Snowflowxxl
Member
Heard it was ICY
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
hikingtheappalachians
Member
EURO HRS 42-72 ON THE 00Z RUN
Unfortunately, no. The temps are out to lunch and Charlotte has always been deep into the warm nose for mixing. Sure, there is a non-zero chance but like single digit chance. It’s not happening with this storm.
What chance do you think the northern burbs of Charlotte have of getting a foot ? Like around Huntersville?
The best case I can see for the Charlotte metro is 4-8”. If I was forecasting for the city I would keep that limited to far northern meck and most everyone else 3” on average. And all of this is with MARGINAL temps. I would certainly be thrilled that this is good event for Charlotte any time of the year but it is going to be a FAR cry with what occurs to the north-west.
So Euro has the backside weather as well but is arguing temps we shall see its relatively close like others
DLI4SCwx
Member
Time to start focusing more on the shorter range models. They will give a better overall perspective.
HERE IS A TEMP GIF HORUS 0-114
SORRY FOR THE SMALL GRAPHIC. CAN UP LOAD A LARGE FILE ON HERE
SORRY FOR THE SMALL GRAPHIC. CAN UP LOAD A LARGE FILE ON HERE
Snowflowxxl
Member
If temps off by a degree or two more of N GA will be in a rather large predicamentHERE IS A TEMP GIF HORUS 0-114
SORRY FOR THE SMALL GRAPHIC. CAN UP LOAD A LARGE FILE ON HERE
LovingGulfLows
Member
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Sucks that if it was actually cold enough in N GA at the tail end of the storm, 1-2 inches wouldn't be out of the question for some places.
Tough call on who may see the max. I like the qpf around Asheville but the warm nose would be stronger there compared to Boone. I would prob take the northerly location and just bank on the moisture coming a little further north than expected. May take a middle location approach and pick Mount Mitchell for the max. :weenie:
I want everyone to remember the totals on the FV3 so you won’t be fooled for the next storm. It’s way too high and likely just flat out wrong with the thermal profile south of i40. Like write yourself a note or something.
olhausen
Member
Man did Tennessee take a turn for the worst today on the models. Oh well I hope you North Carolina folks get hammered with snow!
Well hells bells! My TWC local forecast!!??
6z NAM is even better. The max totals in VA shifted south into western NC. Still good there tho over a foot almost all the way to Blacksburg.
At 15z Sunday there is a blizzard from Mount Airy, NC back to Hickory, NC.
About 2 tier of the southern VA border counties also included in the wind. Mostly NC. Additional wind blast incoming overnight Sunday into Monday morning with drifting likely.
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