• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Webberweather53 said:
Amazingly, in an often backloaded NINO winter like this (plus climo), there's certainly reason to believe considerably more snow/ice is on the way in January or February...
Click to expand...
Wonder if we can see some more big dogs like this current storm? NINO should supply the rich moisture
 
Well, on TWC they just showed a model that had rain pushing into Upstate around 8 in the morning Sat and staying rain up to the NC border, until 5-7AM Sunday! Temp of 35 until Sunday morning and dips to 32 at GSP proper! Talk about wasted qpf on rain!? That was a gut punch
 
wrf-arw2_ref_frzn_us_48.png
Don't know how reliable these short range models are, but most of them keeps the low much further south with a 1038/1040 H..
 
Avalanche said:
I think what they have failed to do is merely mention the other possibility.......that the triangle could end up with more snow and colder surface temps.
Personally, I have learned to trust what I've witnessed on this site as a better determinant factor into how my region is going to be.
Click to expand...

True....But there is still plenty of time for the forecast to change and people be prepared. Its not a situation similar to a hurricane where they need to alert folks 72 hours out to get out of harms way. They are playing the probabilities with a southeast winter storm at this point and I am fine with that
 
How I would give to be on that backside snow towards Ark.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Well, on TWC they just showed a model that had rain pushing into Upstate around 8 in the morning Sat and staying rain up to the NC border, until 5-7AM Sunday! Temp of 35 until Sunday morning and dips to 32 at GSP proper! Talk about wasted qpf on rain!? That was a gut punch
Click to expand...

Guess if that happens a few hours Sunday in Hendersonville would be fun.
 
The one noticeable trend in the NAM lately is the 12km version at the surface is completely changing the orientation of the overrunning event and cold high to the north, and the protrusion of precipitation extending north into the central plains is virtually gone from earlier runs.
namconus_ref_frzn_us_fh54_trend.gif
 
nam3km_ref_frzn_seus_41.png
Once again, look how far south this low is on the 3km Nam. Others short ranges are south as well. Something to watch
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top