Last January: 
Upcoming pattern:
Upcoming pattern:
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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Do the dark reds and oranges mean warm? Cause if so this doesn’t look any better.
Yes but this was what preceded the month long period where we saw a winter storm event for 3-4 weekends in a row.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Where SOME saw events 3-4 weekends in a row perhaps; just more skippage for many others. ?
i generally think the southeast got pretty unlucky during that streak, that pattern was pretty loaded with potential. we turned 450 total yards into three field goals and a pick in the end zone
Judah has spoken! It’s happening! ??????????
A little breezy next week
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Overnight models were not ideal for cold or winter weather in the southeast.
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bigstick10
Member
The flip flop is amazing, Yesterday it had a low of 17 in Atlanta on the 7-9th, now it is 35.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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You would find anything and everything wrong to post about when it comes to cold. Most of us live in the south, so we can expect extreme weather swing in every model run. We get it!!
bigstick10
Member
Hell man, he is just stating a point.
tennessee storm
Member
Surely not Judah… he don’t hype lol
iGRXY
Member
It's getting old. 1. we would be going through a massive pattern change, models routinely do not handle that well at all with big swings back n forth until we get closer. 2. we might be getting the biggest -NAO in over a decade, one that would easily dominate the overall pattern, models aren't going to handle that well at all. 3. If we do end up getting a storm it likely will not show up until under day 8-10. Posting warm model runs over and over when people on here who have FAR and away more knowledge than he does about weather and patterns is telling you that a good change is likely at this point, is just trolling at this point.
The point is incorrect. Overnight models continued the big time -NAO trend. This is favorable for below average temp type of weather along with a major ingredient for winter weather in the east.
This morning gefs run was amazing. Nice CAD footprint as well on 2m temp anoms
Also, nice to see the models showing a west based one, our favorite here in the SE
Wow. A big time -NAO and as we get closer the SER continues to get muted more and more. Who could have saw this coming lol. Precip plot’s definitely had a lot more winter precip in the CAD regions.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
The main point of my post was to get the point across that I think the pattern change may be getting rushed on the modeling. I think December 20th timeframe is when the change will occur. I’ve been saying that for the last several weeks. I’m pulling for cold and snowy just as much as any of you guys are. The 06z GEFS was much better but I still think it could be getting rushed as it has in years passed.
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Thats probably the case, but it didn't seem like the main point of your post lol