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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Arcc

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Percentage increases in cases aren't correlated to percentage increases in testing at all. That has been proven over and over in multiple states.
Not the point. It’s backloading from yesterday. When you average 5-7k tests a day and 600-1000 confirmed cases and then go to 1000 tests and ~350 cases on one day, the spike the next day is probably back logged tests.
 

Arcc

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Comparing a nation that is in far northern Europe and has 6X less people total than the UK, and ultimately is far different than the US in terms of both culture and population density just twists perception. Every nation has a different scenario and impact so every nation has a different response.
That is true, but from daily deaths, to the rise and then decline in deaths match almost completely time wise between the two countries as does deaths per million. The difference is one locked down and the other didn’t.
 

superjames1992

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Pretty significant drop in hospitalizations in North Carolina today, down to 843 from 890 yesterday and a peak of 915 last Tuesday. However, there is a cyclical nature to hospitalizations on a weekly basis, so I wouldn’t celebrate too much yet. Still, today’s 843 is lower than last Monday’s 870, so there could be something to it and perhaps hospitalizations have plateaued or peaked. We’ll see...hope for the best, expect the worst...

Excess hospital beds have now increased to 29% and ICU excess capacity has increased to 24%, which is the highest I can remember in a bit (which is good!).

Tomorrow will be telling, though. Tuesdays tend to be the worst days for hospitalizations.
 

Arcc

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I’m not against him or anything he says, but this kind of lines up with something I’ve been pondering. If we assume the new study means only 20% will need to be infected to achieve some sort of herd immunity and note assume. Then you assume CV may burn itself out naturally. Then you have to assume a whole bunch of companies stand to loss a pile of money. Then Fauci just so happens to come out and say this just after the latest study was released.

Speaking Sunday night to CNN’s Elizabeth Cohen as part of the Aspen Ideas Festival, Fauci said he would “settle” for a coronavirus vaccine that is 70% to 75% effective. By comparison, a measles vaccine is 97% to 98% effective.

“That would be wonderful if we get there,” Fauci, the government’s top infectious disease expert, said. “I don’t think we will. I would settle for a 70, 75% effective vaccine.”
Isn’t it kind of interesting how he comes out with a percentage that pretty much matches what the new study says? The rest of what he says makes plenty of sense, but it is a little convenient. Just thinking out loud.

 
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Update: I got a call from my dad last night. He is now symptomatic. I’m feeling fine. It’s been over 72 hours and still no temperature resurgence. I haven’t even used a fever reducer. I’m extremely grateful. I pray that everyone’s experience mirrors mine. Prepare yourselves. Infection is beginning to appear inevitable.
 

Poimen

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Update: I got a call from my dad last night. He is now symptomatic. I’m feeling fine. It’s been over 72 hours and still no temperature resurgence. I haven’t even used a fever reducer. I’m extremely grateful. I pray that everyone’s experience mirrors mine. Prepare yourselves. Infection is beginning to appear inevitable.
I’m confused. Didn’t you test negative for COVID?
 

GeorgiaGirl

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I’m confused. Didn’t you test negative for COVID?
The longer test was positive even though two rapid were negative. Which is interesting, I would likely lean to yes, he got it (would place it at 90%), but down the road I might take an antibodies test to hopefully confirm.

Enjoy your time on the beach if you can, Jimmy. I'd try to keep distance from anyone outside of your party but otherwise, enjoy your time.
 
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The longer test was positive even though two rapid were negative. Which is interesting, I would likely lean to yes, he got it (would place it at 90%), but down the road I might take an antibodies test to hopefully confirm.

Enjoy your time on the beach if you can, Jimmy. I'd try to keep distance from anyone outside of your party but otherwise, enjoy your time.
I’ve had a mask on inside and outside the entire trip so far. I was told by a professional that new guidance is 72 hours temperature/symptom free. It’s been that long but I’m giving it another day or two.
 

Jon

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Swab test Friday afternoon was positive. Rapid test Saturday morning was negative. Second rapid test Sunday morning was also negative.
Rapid tests being antibody tests that you used your blood with? Why would you expect to test positive with those? It takes a while for IgG to spike and even then, the accuracy of those tests are extremely poor.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

Webberweather53

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From the you can't be f***ing serious department.

There's absolutely no way in hell we can deal w/ 2 global pandemics at once, Covid-19 is enough


“Flu strain with 'human pandemic potential' found in China Scientists and health officials are concerned about a new strain of influenza recently discovered in pigs that has the potential to infect humans. According to researchers, a number of workers from Chinese abattoirs and the swine industry exhibited signs of infection.”

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53218704

Screen Shot 2020-06-29 at 6.26.30 PM.png
 
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Rapid tests being antibody tests that you used your blood with? Why would you expect to test positive with those? It takes a while for IgG to spike and even then, the accuracy of those tests are extremely poor.


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The tests I used came straight from an inpatient rehab facility. They are professionally used to vet people before they check in.
 

Dewpoint Dan

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From the you can't be f***ing serious department.

There's absolutely no way in hell we can deal w/ 2 global pandemics at once, Covid-19 is enough


“Flu strain with 'human pandemic potential' found in China Scientists and health officials are concerned about a new strain of influenza recently discovered in pigs that has the potential to infect humans. According to researchers, a number of workers from Chinese abattoirs and the swine industry exhibited signs of infection.”

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53218704

View attachment 43525
What the heck is going on in China ?
 

Jon

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The tests I used came straight from an inpatient rehab facility. They are professionally used to vet people before they check in.
While that’s true, rapid antibody tests aren’t all that reliable. I was curious about the timing of your tests, assuming they were 100% perfect at detection, it sounds like you took them a little too early given the timing of your positive nasal swab.

 
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