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Misc Cold Season Complaining

Ahh yes the classic medium range rug pull. You can't have a good winter pattern without one of those.
In the past it seemed we would start homing in on a storm during the 10-7 day period. Then lose it between 7-5 days, and maybe get it back around day 5. Seems like it happened often. If it was a "real" thing, not sure if it's still real.
 
Headed towards the end of January like View attachment 157670
Somebody definitely loosened a lug nut or two on the weenie wagon last night. But anything before Jan 7th had a slim chance to begin with. I am annoyed at the GFS with a rain storm shortly after on what was supposed to be an entrenched Arctic airmass by then. But we'll know by the end of the week if Jan 8th thru the 12th has legs or if the weenie wagon will be on its side in a ditch
 
It will be interesting to see in there are in fact any more ups from here on out.
Oh there's going to be plenty of eye candy still. 6Z GFS has some. It's just it's going to stay at 240 hrs+. Which is nothing but eye candy even on the ensemble mean that far out. Look at the EPS chewing away at that mean quickly. It's useless too at that range. Get it inside 168 on multiple ops and have ensemble support we have something.
 
High in the mid 40's and lows in the 30's look great for our extreme cold period...maybe I can turn the AC off.

We might even dip below 30F one night. 💪

View attachment 157674
I’ve been putting off insulation getting blown into my attic for a whole year and this means I can blow it off some more
 
All ensembles with a beautiful overall pattern still so I'm good. EPS backing down on snow means hurts a little but we'll see what the next couple days holds. I have a hard time believing cold and dry will happen with all the storms showing up in the ensemble members and ops, rain or frozen.
 
The back and forth with the models can be exhausting. This model has a storm earlier, other model doesn't, but it has a storm a few days later. Then one or the other or both disappear and come back, or it doesn't come back but then has another storm 10 days down the road again.
 
I see we are in meltdown mode on this Monday morning.
Just wait till Friday when the models show one last attempt 10 days out during the "cold period," which will only last 5 days max before the blowtorch arrives 😅
 
there is no need to be upset GIF
 
High in the mid 40's and lows in the 30's look great for our extreme cold period...maybe I can turn the AC off.

We might even dip below 30F one night. 💪

View attachment 157674
Your chart is just what has been advertised for days on end now. Run of mill seasonal cold NYD into early next week. Its Jan 6-7 -13 that the real cold shows up. No model has advertised BN temps until we get to early next week onward.
 
Bruh, with all the meh patterns you've brought out the snow shovels for, I can't believe you're on the fail train for this one. Or is this double secret reverse phycology? lol.

View attachment 157693

Get something inside day 10 and we can start break dancing...these ensembles love to spit out day 12+ snow events and are quite good at it. I don't doubt we will see a few days of solid cold...but it's usually cutter...cold...cutter.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-conus-total_snow_10to1-1735538400-1736402400-1736402400-20.gif
 
Get something inside day 10 and we can start break dancing...these ensembles love to spit out day 12+ snow events and are quite good at it. I don't doubt we will see a few days of solid cold...but it's usually cutter...cold...cutter.

View attachment 157694
It can't cut. Not with that block in place, it can't. No way it cuts into that block!

- Weather Forum Weenies
 
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