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Misc Cold Season Complaining

BullCityWx said:
I understand that but for how many big events has the euro drug the GFS kicking and screaming to the finish.
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To be fair, just within the last couple years, I have had 100% eps support for wintry within 10 days more than once and here I still sit in a 3 yr snow drought. I get the euro is still king but, because most other models still suck haha.
 
Metwannabe said:
To be fair, just within the last couple years, I have had 100% eps support for wintry within 10 days more than once and here I still sit in a 3 yr snow drought. I get the euro is still king but, because most other models still suck haha.
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Absolutely fair. For me, it isnt just my confidence in the euro but the confidence in the pattern in general.
 
griteater said:
This storm, December 21-22, 1983, produced 12 straight hours of light freezing rain in Charlotte with temperatures 29-32 degrees yielding a significant build-up of ice. I lived it. I saw it with my own eyes. The surface low tracked into Western Lake Superior

fI7FMwC.gif
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You just triggered LC so bad
 
It's fun to have models showing epic snows but the first potential is still a week away. Very few times in the history of this region has a storm appeared at D7 and stayed on every model run. There's a lot to resolve in this particular pattern anyway as blocking starts to build and waves move toward/under. I don't think it's really wise to live on the granular output of my backyard until we get to mid week or potentially later. As long as the pattern across north america stays similar to what models show many should see flakes in the coming 3 weeks and some of us may just see a snow storm that we talk about for a long time
 
SD said:
It's fun to have models showing epic snows but the first potential is still a week away. Very few times in the history of this region has a storm appeared at D7 and stayed on every model run. There's a lot to resolve in this particular pattern anyway as blocking starts to build and waves move toward/under. I don't think it's really wise to live on the granular output of my backyard until we get to mid week or potentially later. As long as the pattern across north america stays similar to what's models many should see flakes in the coming 3 weeks and some of us may just see a snow storm that we talk about for a long time
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You know the exceptions to that rule: The big ones. I feel like, in my experience, they bare their teeth and never go away
 
SD said:
It's fun to have models showing epic snows but the first potential is still a week away. Very few times in the history of this region has a storm appeared at D7 and stayed on every model run. There's a lot to resolve in this particular pattern anyway as blocking starts to build and waves move toward/under. I don't think it's really wise to live on the granular output of my backyard until we get to mid week or potentially later. As long as the pattern across north america stays similar to what models show many should see flakes in the coming 3 weeks and some of us may just see a snow storm that we talk about for a long time
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That 2010 Christmas storm was modeled 7 days out then models lost it then came back around day 5. Beat ya to it Brick, ahem I mean Carolina Jones
 
Metwannabe said:
We've seen models in the past show multiple threats, which then they finally key in on one that becomes the main threat that produces. In fact, more times than not, the one that does produce is much different than what was first advertised. As you and others have stated the important take away is the pattern is ripe and to me, when models start showing multiple threats it confirms the pattern recognition. I don't for a second get excited about multiple winter storms, very seldom does that happen. The details will emerge soon enough
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My bad @Kitty Bump let me try your language:

Bnch dem modelo in those yrs pass has shwnn ya mini possblities3 for olny one dem two atully bringg yous smme soon.

All I got, much too difficult to speak your language with auto correct
 
Metwannabe said:
My bad @Kitty Bump let me try your language:

Bnch dem modelo in those yrs pass has shwnn ya mini possblities3 for olny one dem two atully bringg yous smme soon.

All I got, much too difficult to speak your language with auto correct
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Nah it's this. Muddles b'fore show many threats, then fokis on wun main threat. Offin, the reel threat diff'rent frum first predikshun. Import'nt thing is pattern ripe. Wen muddles show many threats, it confurms pattern. I don't git excited 'bout many winter storms, rarely happens. Details come soon.
 
Snowfan said:
Nah it's this. Muddles b'fore show many threats, then fokis on wun main threat. Offin, the reel threat diff'rent frum first predikshun. Import'nt thing is pattern ripe. Wen muddles show many threats, it confurms pattern. I don't git excited 'bout many winter storms, rarely happens. Details come soon.
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Nailed it!!!!
 
I get people being down after the gfs run . Especially based off of the past 3 years winters! Lord know it’s been a snow drought for many, me included but to say this period is done and winter is over is like saying Hurricane season is over in early August just because the activity is slow and the models show nothing!
 
Metwannabe said:
My bad @Kitty Bump let me try your language:

Bnch dem modelo in those yrs pass has shwnn ya mini possblities3 for olny one dem two atully bringg yous smme soon.

All I got, much too difficult to speak your language with auto correct
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Yous summons kity bumps....,got a lot of nerves

Buttfire you correck beast modelo to we sea in yeres. NBa


You ridge riding you west coast to build delivery artictic air, full frontal stalls to stall a cross the southern to promoting psychlogenesis give us you snowflak.

Europeans
 
Kitty Bump said:
Yous summons kity bumps....,got a lot of nerves

Buttfire you correck beast modelo to we sea in yeres. NBa


You ridge riding you west coast to build delivery artictic air, full frontal stalls to stall a cross the southern to promoting psychlogenesis give us you snowflak.

Europeans
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Europeans
 
jeremyt said:
I get people being down after the gfs run . Especially based off of the past 3 years winters! Lord know it’s been a snow drought for many, me included but to say this period is done and winter is over is like saying Hurricane season is over in early August just because the activity is slow and the models show nothing!
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I bet the ensembles haven't even changed much... That's what I always look at

We go through this out here too there's always a phase where the globals lose the storm

The Euro is infamous here for missing February 2021 like 3 days before... It had people thinking nothing bad would happen(I actually partially blame that for why the power grid nearly failed)... Because they hugged the Euro and assumed nothing would happen
 
I just want to confirm I’m safe
Brent said:
I bet the ensembles haven't even changed much... That's what I always look at

We go through this out here too there's always a phase where the globals lose the storm

The Euro is infamous here for missing February 2021 like 3 days before... It had people thinking nothing bad would happen(I actually partially blame that for why the power grid nearly failed)... Because they hugged the Euro and assumed nothing would happen
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Possible. But I bet there’s a reason the ensembles haven’t been posted.
 
Stevo24 said:
I don’t even know what winter weather is. How could I know if I like it or not? Maybe a little taste and I would have a better idea.
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Ok, then why are all of your posts lamenting not getting winter weather then? Since you don't know if you like it or not, it may be that it's a good thing when the models show no cold and snow. Then, you could just be happy about it and not make all of your posts so cynical and repetitive. Maybe?
 
Possibly the best 10 day period for winter weather we've seen board wide in decades! I'm riding the @mitcpositive vibes from here on out! Reel in the good mood Mitch!
 
Rain Cold said:
Ok, then why are all of your posts lamenting not getting winter weather then? Since you don't know if you like it or not, it may be that it's a good thing when the models show no cold and snow. Then, you could just be happy about it and not make all of your posts so cynical and repetitive. Maybe?
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Maybe 🤔 something to ponder for sure.
 
Stevo24 said:
2022 so about to be 3 years in January.
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Same for me and I've experienced plenty of winter events in NC. Going back to the Feb '73 Carolina crusher in the southeastern part of the state. You must have a short memory then to not know "what winter weather is" as you stated.
 
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