severestorm
Member
Perfect to where i'm traveling too.There’s the historic Florida snowstorm on the 6z gfs!
Perfect to where i'm traveling too.There’s the historic Florida snowstorm on the 6z gfs!
That look doesn't make people in Boston feel good, quite the opposite18z GEFS members really all over the place with the system prior to 1/10.
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Boston, on the other hand, must be feeling pretty good.
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YEA, its a total waste of cold as always here. At least it isnt quite as cold as yesterday. hopefully the models will continue to warmWho the hell wants cold but not the snow. there's still ppl in Tents here in Asheville!!!
People shouldn't want ANY type bad weather with those people still dealing with what their dealing with. People just wants what THEY want and don't think about others. It's sad really what some people wish forWho the hell wants cold but not the snow. there's still ppl in Tents here in Asheville!!!
Good rule of thumb. Its about the ride at this point. We all just hope the ride ends well.One bad GFS run and everybody is doom and gloom. It's too far out to get caught on the details. At this range it's really just fun to see what storms the models will spit out. So to lift spirits, run through the overnight CFS (link starts at day 7):
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Models: CFS - Pivotal Weather
View CFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.www.pivotalweather.com
But remember, the 12z output will show something different...
Um the GFS was fine? And the overnight models were banging? What are you taking about lolOne bad GFS run and everybody is doom and gloom. It's too far out to get caught on the details. At this range it's really just fun to see what storms the models will spit out. So to lift spirits, run through the overnight CFS (link starts at day 7):
![]()
Models: CFS - Pivotal Weather
View CFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.www.pivotalweather.com
But remember, the 12z output will show something different...
The snowfall totals were down on one op run still two weeks out and people are freaking out.Um the GFS was fine? And the overnight models were banging? What are you taking about lol
This is the GFS that for a long time told us we were not even going to get cold correct? Then caved to the Euro? Lol got it.
It's funny how many people base emotions on op runs and particularly the gfsThe snowfall totals were down on one op run still two weeks out and people are freaking out.
Euro caved to the GFS lastnight. expecting for it to cut on 12zThis is the GFS that for a long time told us we were not even going to get cold correct? Then caved to the Euro? Lol got it.
If you're just looking at the overall pattern, then yeah. But people (me included) tend to ride the model details for storms too far out of range.Um the GFS was fine? And the overnight models were banging? What are you taking about lol
The GFS is bipolar.It's funny how many people base emotions on op runs and particularly the gfs
Imo the system around the 5th always had a chance to be biased north. In the big picture that's OK since that's the wave that taps the deeper cold and sets the stage for a much better pattern afterThe GFS is bipolar.
If you look at the gfs trend here (which is wonky) it does seem to be picking up on the more southerly movement of the system the euro has. Just not generating the full storm as much.
Euro might be a MASSIVE hit
This is what happens when people can only read surface maps.Holy cow 6z killed this place lol
Alright this might be the last time i post about him but it truly is hilarious.
Alright this might be the last time i post about him but it truly is hilarious.
You're not alone. Anytime I see > 192 hours on the maps posted, I just scroll past them.I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
I agree. But it is kind of fun seeing these historic solutions being printed out. It seems like it's been years since we've consistently seen fantasy storms and severe cold, even in the LR.I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
You’re not the only one trust me. Things will change and we have to accept them when they do.I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
I understand it, I get caught up in it myself even though I know better. We're all desperate and the pattern holds some promise, so we let ourselves indulge in it. That's not to say I don't like the potential, I absolutely do, but I watch NWP for other regions and they still do the same rug pulls and it's going to happen - things will change massively before we hone in on a legitimate < D6 threat on the ops.You're not alone. Anytime I see > 192 hours on the maps posted, I just scroll past them.
The heat enthusiasts are out of their caves. Be mindful and remember this week: Don’t take the rage bait. It’s never worth it.
I forgot you moved and this post made me very confusedLine just passed through here. Wind gusts have been all behind the line. Nothing severe here.
It's going to be rough when @Rain Cold gets excited and then I realize I'm still screwed.I forgot you moved and this post made me very confused