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Misc Cold Season Complaining

One bad GFS run and everybody is doom and gloom. It's too far out to get caught on the details. At this range it's really just fun to see what storms the models will spit out. So to lift spirits, run through the overnight CFS (link starts at day 7):


But remember, the 12z output will show something different...
 
One bad GFS run and everybody is doom and gloom. It's too far out to get caught on the details. At this range it's really just fun to see what storms the models will spit out. So to lift spirits, run through the overnight CFS (link starts at day 7):


But remember, the 12z output will show something different...
Good rule of thumb. Its about the ride at this point. We all just hope the ride ends well.
 
One bad GFS run and everybody is doom and gloom. It's too far out to get caught on the details. At this range it's really just fun to see what storms the models will spit out. So to lift spirits, run through the overnight CFS (link starts at day 7):


But remember, the 12z output will show something different...
Um the GFS was fine? And the overnight models were banging? What are you taking about lol
 
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Um the GFS was fine? And the overnight models were banging? What are you taking about lol
If you're just looking at the overall pattern, then yeah. But people (me included) tend to ride the model details for storms too far out of range.
 
Euro might be a MASSIVE hit

Congrats on being the first person to accurately predict a model's prediction this year! And congrats on 40+ likes on the snow map post!!
 
I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
 
I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
You're not alone. Anytime I see > 192 hours on the maps posted, I just scroll past them.
 
This is a general reminder that this thread is for complaint about the weather and model runs and for general banter.

This thread (or any thread) is not for complaining about other members, being passive aggressive toward other members, trolling other members, criticizing other members, or trying to upset other members.

This thread is not for repeating the same thing over and over (like "who wants cold without snow?"). You were heard and understood the first time.

Also, please let's stop with the "people who are interested extreme weather are bad because extreme weather hurts people" narrative. Nobody here (as far as I know) wants to see people get hurt. We're all here because we are fascinated by weather. Nobody is here to talk about 72 degrees and sunny skies.

AAnd lastly, please use the ignore feature if someone is annoying to you.

Thank you!
 
I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
I agree. But it is kind of fun seeing these historic solutions being printed out. It seems like it's been years since we've consistently seen fantasy storms and severe cold, even in the LR.
 
I think I'm the only person on here looking at these D10+ solutions and knowing they are going to change and just wondering how we are going to hold the line. I do not want to be seeing this until we get inside D6 on the operationals because it ruins expectations and makes you constantly go back to these idealized runs to see how we can get back to them, which we know we never will.
You’re not the only one trust me. Things will change and we have to accept them when they do.
 
You're not alone. Anytime I see > 192 hours on the maps posted, I just scroll past them.
I understand it, I get caught up in it myself even though I know better. We're all desperate and the pattern holds some promise, so we let ourselves indulge in it. That's not to say I don't like the potential, I absolutely do, but I watch NWP for other regions and they still do the same rug pulls and it's going to happen - things will change massively before we hone in on a legitimate < D6 threat on the ops.
 
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