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Misc Cold Season Complaining

weatherfide said:
That will be the solution for the 1/5-1/6 storm. followed by a quick cold snap, then back to seasonable. That's the winter of 2025. Try again when the solar cycle starts to wane. Probably need to hang this hobby up for a few more years.
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I feel you. Winter weather just ain’t happening. WRAL said warmup coming first week of January
 
severestorm said:
lol
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What’s really lol is your claim to be a meteorologist. Most everyone on here provides better takes and analyses than the amateurish and outright moronic assessments you come to. Analyzing GEFS storm specifics at 10 days out now that’s a good one. I actually shook my head just reading it.
 
1300m said:
What’s really lol is your claim to be a meteorologist. Most everyone on here provides better takes and analyses than the amateurish and outright moronic assessments you come to. Analyzing GEFS storm specifics at 10 days out now that’s a good one. I actually shook my head just reading it.
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you sound emotional. maybe take a break from model watching.
 
severestorm said:
How did Fro's clipper come true that this site banned me for saying "have fun chasing clouds". Looks like I was right. Opinions of dissent are not welcome here even on the banter thread 🤡
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Just be civil in your posts and conversations with other members. Trolling posts that are meant to get reactions won't be tolerated in any thread. Fair warning to you and several others who are on the line with some of their posts.
 
Man we really need a good snowfall asap. I don't know if it'll happen in Jan or not. What I do know is it'll get cold again the 1st week of Jan. We don't know how cold or if it's even going to have much staying power yet. We certainly don't know if it'll snow yet. I would say the chances of failure are higher than the chances of success by far. We'd have a much higher yearly average if even a quarter of good patterns produced. That's not being pessimistic that's just being real, and most of us know that failure is the most likely option. But a pattern will produce again one day and it will snow. And it needs to be asap or this board may indeed be shutdown. Everyone seems to be at their breaking point
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Man we really need a good snowfall asap. I don't know if it'll happen in Jan or not. What I do know is it'll get cold again the 1st week of Jan. We don't know how cold or if it's even going to have much staying power yet. We certainly don't know if it'll snow yet. I would say the chances of failure are higher than the chances of success by far. We'd have a much higher yearly average if even a quarter of good patterns produced. That's not being pessimistic that's just being real, and most of us know that failure is the most likely option. But a pattern will produce again one day and it will snow. And it needs to be asap or this board may indeed be shutdown. Everyone seems to be at their breaking point
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Many people still act like Climate Change is not real which is the problem. Snowfall averages are going down.
 
severestorm said:
Many people still act like Climate Change is not real which is the problem. Snowfall averages are going down.
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WRAL TV-5 in Raleigh headlined their weather page with a segment on that. They said expect reductions in snow going forward for our viewing area.
 
severestorm said:
How did Fro's clipper come true that this site banned me for saying "have fun chasing clouds". Looks like I was right. Opinions of dissent are not welcome here even on the banter thread 🤡
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it’s a forum. It’s as simple as being nice to others, if you disagree, give reasons why, and not provide unneeded snarky comments back. I had my reasoning, and it didn’t turn out to do anything, oh well, I was wrong. Next. you and former dadofjax have a similar posting style though 🤔👀
 
Avalanche said:
WRAL TV-5 in Raleigh headlined their weather page with a segment on that. They said expect reductions in snow going forward for our viewing area.
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Snowfall averages in the southeastern United States have generally been decreasing over time, influenced by a warming climate. This trend aligns with broader patterns observed globally and regionally due to climate change. Here’s why and how:

Reasons for Declining Snowfall in the Southeast:​

  1. Rising Temperatures:
    • Higher average temperatures mean that precipitation is more likely to fall as rain rather than snow, particularly in regions like the Southeast, where winter temperatures often hover near freezing.
  2. Shifting Jet Streams:
    • Climate change can alter atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the jet stream, potentially leading to fewer cold air intrusions that enable snowfall in southern regions.
  3. Reduced Arctic Ice:
    • Loss of Arctic sea ice may weaken polar vortex dynamics, leading to less frequent or less intense cold air outbreaks in the Southeast.
  4. Urban Heat Island Effect:
    • In more developed areas, urbanization exacerbates warming, further reducing the likelihood of snow accumulation.

Historical Trends and Projections:​

  • Historical Data:
    • Records show a decline in snowfall events in many parts of the Southeast, especially since the mid-20th century.
    • Notable snowstorms still occur, but they are less frequent and often shorter in duration.
  • Future Projections:
    • Climate models project that snowfall will continue to decline in the Southeast as global temperatures rise, except for rare, anomalous cold events that may still bring significant snow.

Local Variability:​

While the overall trend is decreasing snowfall, there can still be short-term variability. Some winters might experience heavy snowfall due to specific atmospheric conditions, but the long-term trajectory is one of decline.
This phenomenon underscores the broader impacts of climate change on regional weather patterns, making snow rarer in traditionally marginal snowfall zones like the Southeast.
 
severestorm said:
Snowfall averages in the southeastern United States have generally been decreasing over time, influenced by a warming climate. This trend aligns with broader patterns observed globally and regionally due to climate change. Here’s why and how:

Reasons for Declining Snowfall in the Southeast:​

  1. Rising Temperatures:
    • Higher average temperatures mean that precipitation is more likely to fall as rain rather than snow, particularly in regions like the Southeast, where winter temperatures often hover near freezing.
  2. Shifting Jet Streams:
    • Climate change can alter atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the jet stream, potentially leading to fewer cold air intrusions that enable snowfall in southern regions.
  3. Reduced Arctic Ice:
    • Loss of Arctic sea ice may weaken polar vortex dynamics, leading to less frequent or less intense cold air outbreaks in the Southeast.
  4. Urban Heat Island Effect:
    • In more developed areas, urbanization exacerbates warming, further reducing the likelihood of snow accumulation.

Historical Trends and Projections:​

  • Historical Data:
    • Records show a decline in snowfall events in many parts of the Southeast, especially since the mid-20th century.
    • Notable snowstorms still occur, but they are less frequent and often shorter in duration.
  • Future Projections:
    • Climate models project that snowfall will continue to decline in the Southeast as global temperatures rise, except for rare, anomalous cold events that may still bring significant snow.

Local Variability:​

While the overall trend is decreasing snowfall, there can still be short-term variability. Some winters might experience heavy snowfall due to specific atmospheric conditions, but the long-term trajectory is one of decline.
This phenomenon underscores the broader impacts of climate change on regional weather patterns, making snow rarer in traditionally marginal snowfall zones like the Southeast.
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How many 33F and rain have we had over the past 5 years?
 
severestorm said:
Snowfall averages in the southeastern United States have generally been decreasing over time, influenced by a warming climate. This trend aligns with broader patterns observed globally and regionally due to climate change. Here’s why and how:

Reasons for Declining Snowfall in the Southeast:​

  1. Rising Temperatures:
    • Higher average temperatures mean that precipitation is more likely to fall as rain rather than snow, particularly in regions like the Southeast, where winter temperatures often hover near freezing.
  2. Shifting Jet Streams:
    • Climate change can alter atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the jet stream, potentially leading to fewer cold air intrusions that enable snowfall in southern regions.
  3. Reduced Arctic Ice:
    • Loss of Arctic sea ice may weaken polar vortex dynamics, leading to less frequent or less intense cold air outbreaks in the Southeast.
  4. Urban Heat Island Effect:
    • In more developed areas, urbanization exacerbates warming, further reducing the likelihood of snow accumulation.

Historical Trends and Projections:​

  • Historical Data:
    • Records show a decline in snowfall events in many parts of the Southeast, especially since the mid-20th century.
    • Notable snowstorms still occur, but they are less frequent and often shorter in duration.
  • Future Projections:
    • Climate models project that snowfall will continue to decline in the Southeast as global temperatures rise, except for rare, anomalous cold events that may still bring significant snow.

Local Variability:​

While the overall trend is decreasing snowfall, there can still be short-term variability. Some winters might experience heavy snowfall due to specific atmospheric conditions, but the long-term trajectory is one of decline.
This phenomenon underscores the broader impacts of climate change on regional weather patterns, making snow rarer in traditionally marginal snowfall zones like the Southeast.
Click to expand...
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