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Misc Cold Season Complaining

It seems like a lot of the NC people are jealous of anyone further south getting more chances than they have. It doesn’t fit climo. Feels like there have been more angry folks on here like we’re in the other boards after somebody gets snubbed of a big snow.
 
Sctvman said:
It seems like a lot of the NC people are jealous of anyone further south getting more chances than they have. It doesn’t fit climo. Feels like there have been more angry folks on here like we’re in the other boards after somebody gets snubbed of a big snow.
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Hell yea its Jealousy lol ....I put that aside for Columbia, but in no way am I gonna root for Florida or Louisiana. And its bc we've been getting screwed outside of Winston and OR the Mountains for 5-6yrs now
 
Yeah, if you get a 2018-esque replay, even if it's lighter, with Columbia locked out again, that makes two winter storms deep in SC with areas where it should be slightly easier to get snow basically getting shut out since 2014.

Heck, Augusta barely ended its 1" drought 9 days ago and there are areas that are borderline downstream from me to my west that might end up with little to nothing.

EDIT: This may even be Feb 2021 esque (saw that ENC got locked out entirely on the RGEM), except we had a pattern that was climo favorable this time for snow to the east.
 
The REGM and Icon model would be the worst case scenario. Dumps huge snows for the Gulf Coast and even gives Savannah around a inch of snow. Meanwhile many areas in the Montgomery,Macon,Augusta,Columbia, Favetteville, New Bern corridor have yet to get more than 2 inches of snow in any system in last 10 years. With the inland SE being out of the game for any snow beyond a dusting, I really do hope the end result is a more suppressed version of the Ukmet, which could mean any snow on the Gulf coast could be light.
 
I went skiing this weekend and am just catching up now… smh. Also what is the national blend of models that pops up all the time, it seems to somehow always have way more snow than any model I’ve seen. 😂
 
Run looks good to me.
Proud Of You Yes GIF
 
superjames1992 said:
I went skiing this weekend and am just catching up now… smh. Also what is the national blend of models that pops up all the time, it seems to somehow always have way more snow than any model I’ve seen. 😂
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The only thing worse than a single deterministic model is a blend of several deterministic models.
 
Man local cae says 50 70 percent chance around here.

I need access to their models I guess
 
The GFS trending ever so slightly south each run in the Gulf. Need those trends to continue for the next 36 hours until the start of the event.
 
Faco Thomas said:
The GFS trending ever so slightly south each run in the Gulf. Need those trends to continue for the next 36 hours until the start of the event.
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Aikens not natural for snow either truth be told

Maybe ice and sleet though
 
It’s a shame we can’t get a solid snowfall with conditions like we have. Instead, we’ll probably get 2-4” later in the winter that’ll be at 33 degrees and slushy, and melt in a morning. Ugh. If we get snow at all, which as the last two winters have demonstrated is no guarantee.

I think this is going to go down as one of the coldest Januaries in RDU in recent memory, and yet they’ll be below average for snow for the month. 😭
 
NoSnowATL said:
Winter Storm Watch here. Cool
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We can watch it happen down in Albany, GA from here. That must be what they mean. They are seeing similarities with January 2014 and that's why they are doing it. In 2014, I think I remember seeing models start showing the precipitation further north by now. It may have been 48 hours out, which would be tonight. I'm still watching it, though, just because it's fun!
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
@Rain Cold i’m buying the dip here at 00z for a quick rip into earnings tomorrow afternoon
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I mean for most of us it can’t get any worse I guess?

Happy for the Deep South folks. Ordinarily, I’d probably be more giving but it’s now been 10 years since I’ve seen more than a couple inches of snow and I’m beside myself.
 
I know I shouldn't even look but I guess I'll see if NAM's increasing SW/NE tilt trending does anything good to bring a scrap of moisture further inland at 0z.

Begin Rant.
This hobby is wearing on me. I have had 2 inches this season from 2 different storms, which is better than the last 3 years but still horrible when your avg is supposed to be 7" a year. The way I look at it is I'm still 19" behind for the past 3 years. I'm probably older than most here and can remember all the good late 70s and 80s storms I grew up with. Especially 77-87 were mostly awesome. Yes, those were the days. I even took a year of Meterology at NCSU before deciding to do something else.
Rant over.
 
tazaroo said:
I know I shouldn't even look but I guess I'll see if NAM's increasing SW/NE tilt trending does anything good to bring a scrap of moisture further inland at 0z.

Begin Rant.
This hobby is wearing on me. I have had 2 inches this season from 2 different storms, which is better than the last 3 years but still horrible when your avg is supposed to be 7" a year. The way I look at it is I'm still 19" behind for the past 3 years. I'm probably older than most here and can remember all the good late 70s and 80s storms I grew up with. Especially 77-87 were mostly awesome. Yes, those were the days. I even took a year of Meterology at NCSU before deciding to do something else.
Rant over.
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Im with you neighbor. Been around same time. So fustrating.
 
I'd personally take it if I was in that situation and got a day off, but imagine that you're Louisiana, you pretty much cancel everything for the week because a winter storm looks likely, and this is all you get:

1737328288991.png


It'd be disappointing here too.

I do think it's probably out to lunch, but it very much can't be discounted.
 
I’ve said it before I’ll say it again, the things y’all want from this climate aren’t happening. It’s time to move. Idc how much you love the south, you all live between 28-36 degrees north… much closer to equator than the NP. it’s time to pack your bags and move north, far north . I’d suggest Michigan, Wisconsin , upstate New York, New England , Minnesota . Houses are cheaper in these places , less people, more wilderness, better public services and schools. Warmest day in winter might be an odd 50 something day a few times . Most of it will be well below freezing with snow chances into early May, or even a once in a lifetime early June flake. Summer is basically our april- May- early juneish weather but more stable, and fall comes fast.
 
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LickWx said:
I’ve said it before I’ll say it again, the things y’all want from this climate aren’t happening. It’s time to move. Idc how much you love the south, you all live between 28-36 degrees south… much closer to equator than the NP. it’s time to pack your bags and move north, far north . I’d suggest Michigan, Wisconsin , upstate New York, New England , Minnesota . Houses are cheaper in these places , less people, more wilderness, better public services and schools. Warmest day in winter might be an odd 50 something day a few times . Most of it will be well below freezing with snow chances into early May, or even a once in a lifetime early June flake. Summer is basically our april- May- early juneish weather but more stable, and fall comes fast.
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I think you mean between 28-36 degrees north. This isn't the Southern Hemisphere lol.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I'd personally take it if I was in that situation and got a day off, but imagine that you're Louisiana, you pretty much cancel everything for the week because a winter storm looks likely, and this is all you get:

View attachment 165619


It'd be disappointing here too.

I do think it's probably out to lunch, but it very much can't be discounted.
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Please let this happen lol like I want everyone to get blanked


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
The thing I think I hate the most is that even if the models were all in agreement and running major SE snowstorms today there is still a legit chance we would eff it up and trend to a minor event like this in the last 24-36 hrs or so, it happens all to often....what never ever happens is the opposite except in a few rare occasions. I cant think of a single time they forecast 2-3" and I ended up with 6-8" etc. but I cant count the times it went the other way. I guess the upside is at this point I expect a inch or so at best so I wont be disappointed when I get nothing.
 
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