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Misc Cold Season Complaining

I hate off cycle runs of the globals and using them to determine trends, for the meso's I'm cool with 6z and 18z.
 
For folks in North Carolina things are looking better. We will know more when the models are in better agreement but it appears that the best chances for a significant snow will be from I-95 east which is the traditional dividing line for winter storms that run up the coast. With the very cold air in place, any snow that falls will be around for a while and there are possibly more storms to follow with the favorable upper air pattern we are locked in. I've got my fingers crossed that I will be working from home at least a couple of days next week🫰.
 
Ok, so I went to sleep and apparently, that 0Z EURO was a complete off run and it went back to garbage at 6Z .....See thats the annoying part, when you feel like youre back in and the next cycle its gone. Like just keep the same BS scenario where Carolina Beach gets a decade worth and dont tease
 
Ok, so I went to sleep and apparently, that 0Z EURO was a complete off run and it went back to garbage at 6Z .....See thats the annoying part, when you feel like youre back in and the next cycle its gone. Like just keep the same BS scenario where Carolina Beach gets a decade worth and dont tease
You screwed up the juju yesterday...enjoy the cold/dry next week.
 
Glad to have your thoughts here and not the pros!
I will bet my entire Mortgage New Orleans doesnt see an 1" of snow. My point was, thats the equivalent of CLT/RAH Mets putting 12-18" on TV.... you just dont do it till you have to, bc ppl will freak out so you just hide it from the ones who dont know until you have to tell them. Now, theyve put this out and theyre gonna panic
 
On the other hand, nobody knows more about overpromise/undeliver than a Wolfpack fan .... ;-)
You aint lyin man. We sold our soul to the devil for 3 weeks last March. Now Dave Deoren is the Canadian ensembles of football coaches.....every summer looks decent but then goes down 14-0 to Western Carolina At gametime. So trust me Im with you
 
If y’all wanna have a good day u will just have to put Kylo on mute for 24hr. He’ll come around 💀
But have I posted anything that wasn't factually correct...that's the scary part. I could choose to go into cheerleader mode...but doesn't change the facts.
 
Webber should make anyone who is worried about this precip field not trending NW much better. Just poured my first cup of coffee for the NAM. About time to focus on the short range models soon.
 
But have I posted anything that wasn't factually correct...that's the scary part. I could choose to go into cheerleader mode...but doesn't change the facts.
4 day lead starts today. 00z EPS was a significant jump, Off hour 06z not as good but still much better than any during the previous 2-3 days. We just need one jump a day. Doesn’t even matter which suite it is. I don’t even want a jackpot. Not possible. I just want a fringe 1-2”.
 
Webber should make anyone who is worried about this precip field not trending NW much better. Just poured my first cup of coffee for the NAM. About time to focus on the short range models soon.

To be honest...Webber can see shxt models can't. He's probably rolling his eyes at all of this...I remember him nailing both Jan 2018 events. Especially the early Jan 2018...models had nothing for that 48 hours out.
 
This will be the seasonal snowfall after next Wednesday...if this happens and the Chiefs win another superbowl...

View attachment 164998

Probably. Then again they probably win anyways. If the CMC is right and we get slammed, they will win off of a ball knocked from Mahomes’s hands that bounces off the RB’s helmet into the arms of a receiver who jukes every defender before hurdling the ref for a TD.
 
Anomalous situations bring potentially anomalous results.

I'm not gonna lie, I'm a little worried about something like Jan 2018 still, but even though it was just a couple inches at home, I'd be pretty happy with something somewhat like Jan 2014, and I'm definitely going to call out if my work isn't smart (probably will be okay though because this isn't essential) considering that I just had an accident and would have to drive on hills.

In that case, if you're to the north, you're relying on stuff we're just not going to know for sure about for a couple days.
 
Aight @KyloG im headed out for awhile..... but when I come back Im joining you on the dark side bc youre correct lol . Also, may we all pray the winner of that BIlls/Ravens game tomm Is the AFC rep.....I simply cannot stomach that Kermit the frog sounding tool winning another SB. My money is Philly vs Buffalo
 
4 day lead starts today. 00z EPS was a significant jump, Off hour 06z not as good but still much better than any during the previous 2-3 days. We just need one jump a day. Doesn’t even matter which suite it is. I don’t even want a jackpot. Not possible. I just want a fringe 1-2”.

We are inside day 4 and the 6z GEFS was almost a whiff for both CLT and RDU. We can keep saying the GFS is going to shift NW but we need the ensemble to show more than just 2 members with more than a dusting.

gfs-ensemble-all-KRDU-indiv_snow_24-7180000.pnggfs-ensemble-all-KCLT-indiv_snow_24-7180000.png
 
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