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Misc Cold Season Complaining

The Carolinas simply can't get significant snow anymore. Not long after the GFS started to show a cold/dry setup with no wave at all, the other reliable models ended caving to the GFS. Chances are we are going cold and dry for a couple days and then by precip does get to us, it's too warm for almost everybody.
 
I will hang in there till Saturday …. But Dang, FroTho is right this isn’t suppression…. There’s literally just not gonna be a storm. If this occurs next week I never wanna hear a word about that pos EURo being king ect again lol


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blueheronNC said:
Need advice from this thread: I’m currently in Southeast Asia traveling with my wife for our anniversary. My two kids are back in Raleigh with relatives. Do I need to consider flying all the way back to be there for next week’s snowstorm? I don’t want to miss this (increasingly rare) experience with my sons, but I would feel like an absolute idiot if it doesn’t pan out (and I bailed on a picture perfect tropical beach for 24 degree highs and bare soil). Obviously getting back from here is quite challenging (at least 30 hours door to door) and takes some advance planning.
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Snow at home is fun but I would not risk it on this storm.
 
We got teased by these 2-4 inch snow means on the EPS and GEFS into that this will be different and that actually believed the Carolina actually had a real shot at getting a big storm. We all got fooled. Maybe it's time to fully accept that it's easier snow in Dallas than in Raleigh and easier to snow in San Antonio than Columbia these days.
 
Mitch West said:
Guys, we've been here before. Try to keep the emotions level. This is the massive drop before the big climb to glory.
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Honestly all it is is one little change that can change right back in our favor the next run. Now obviously if it stays this way for a day or two I’d worry. But this is par for the course before a big dog.
 
What's even worse about this is that we may have just lost our chance of cutting into the Carolina snow drought for foreseeable future. We know that a cold pattern has been very hard to come by for areas east of apps these last few winters before this one. Assuming February isn't a total blowtorch, we are actually going to have below normal temperatures this winter. The result are likely one small winter storm that under-performed in a lot of areas. What a huge letdown.
 
For Some Reason Spann is still touting this thing back in His area saying “Trends went up overnight” lol. Maybe we’re all just not as smart as we think as hobbyists. Idk why he’d be saying that but yea


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Stevo24 said:
Honestly all it is is one little change that can change right back in our favor the next run. Now obviously if it stays this way for a day or two I’d worry. But this is par for the course before a big dog.
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14 never did this and neither did Dec 18 … those were locks as locks could be


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Myfrotho704_ said:
Moment of positivity - the GFS took a step back in the right direction at H5, and the GEFS looked improved as well. It is the suite that had that trend intially. So we aren’t cooked yet
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We just need to see the energy maintain from prior runs today and the GFS continue away from its current idea. We still have some time to fix things but it's very short.
 
Ok…. I placed original opening lines for fun Last night (6days)

7PM Weds ****

EURO / CMC - (-13.5) (-750 ML)

GFS - (+13.5) (+500 ML)


7AM Thursday ****

EURO / CMC - (-9.5) (-500 ML)

GFS - (+9.5) (+350 ML)


Will update at 7PM Tonight lol Heavy “Sharp” Money came in on GFS overnight but still a ways from Kickoff.


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Faco Thomas said:
What's even worse about this is that we may have just lost our chance of cutting into the Carolina snow drought for foreseeable future. We know that a cold pattern has been very hard to come by for areas east of apps these last few winters before this one. Assuming February isn't a total blowtorch, we are actually going to have below normal temperatures this winter. The result are likely one small winter storm that under-performed in a lot of areas. What a huge letdown.
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Only positive energy will help.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
And to be fair, it’s not truly suppression. It’s simply because the energy isn’t digging (really losing that aspect that makes a storm in the first place).
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Bingo. Vastly different pattern than we had even 24 hours ago on most models nothing is getting suppressed
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
14 never did this and neither did Dec 18 … those were locks as locks could be


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Furthest thing from the truth. 2014 was an absolute nightmare in AL and GA because the models suppressed that system all the way to verification. Complete bust!
 
RoddyPiper said:
Disgustingly familiar trends over the past few model runs. Fat lady entering stage left for everyone…
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Eh, nah still a while away before that. Even if we do lose the big dog potential, it will not take much to get some of us something out of this. Definitely location dependent though.
 
RoddyPiper said:
Furthest thing from the truth. 2014 was an absolute nightmare in AL and GA because the models suppressed that system all the way to verification. Complete bust!
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I understand, however for my area in NC we saw Big dogs for 5-6 days straight and I got 13". I shouldve specified area
 
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