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Misc Cold Season Complaining

I wish i could see what little rock arkansas and some of the areas west is going to see with the snow totals. It’s definitely going to suck being that close only to get maybe a couple inches with the stupid warm nose making it all the way this far north here in Hazel Green. I guess i need to just face reality and be happy with what ever little amounts i get. I’m ready for spring now sorry guys i’m not in a good mood with this storm.
 
I wish i could see what little rock arkansas and some of the areas west is going to see with the snow totals. It’s definitely going to suck being that close only to get maybe a couple inches with the stupid warm nose making it all the way this far north here in Hazel Green. I guess i need to just face reality and be happy with what ever little amounts i get. I’m ready for spring now sorry guys i’m not in a good mood with this storm.

If it helps south of here has way more snow than me right now

This is another reason I went to KC
 
After having lived in New England for most my life, snow became a hassle. Tracking storms wasn't fun, unless it was a 2'+ storm. Having been down here for 14 years now, I've rediscovered my love for tracking winter weather. Even though we don't get much of it, the challenge is that much greater.
 
Same here. Everybody at work today was so excited, and I felt like a Grumblepants sitting at my desk, because I knew I would burst their bubble if I opened my mouth. NWS says 2-4", but I'm not optimistic. The bitterness of the 33 degree rainfall of Feb 2021 is still with me, I think.
 
After having lived in New England for most my life, snow became a hassle. Tracking storms wasn't fun, unless it was a 2'+ storm. Having been down here for 14 years now, I've rediscovered my love for tracking winter weather. Even though we don't get much of it, the challenge is that much greater.

Yeah I sort of feel like even in Tulsa it's not the same as it was in Dallas or Alabama. Here you expect it every year and like today.. The schools went even though it snowed for hours all day

Yes they are closed tomorrow but still. The mere rumor of a flake in Alabama and everything closed
 
Yeah I sort of feel like even in Tulsa it's not the same as it was in Dallas or Alabama. Here you expect it every year and like today.. The schools went even though it snowed for hours all day

Yes they are closed tomorrow but still. The mere rumor of a flake in Alabama and everything closed
Exactly. When I was in school, it took about 6" to have a snow day. It took a foot for things to slow down around town, and things really only shut down over 18".
 
Exactly. When I was in school, it took about 6" to have a snow day. It took a foot for things to slow down around town, and things really only shut down over 18".

Example Dallas schools closed yesterday for 2 days and honestly most of the metro is fine right now 🤣

Prime example

Our roads are probably worse than theirs from what I'm reading
 
2011-01-12 09.36.35.jpg

This was on 1/12/11. We ended up with 28". I think most people living down here remember that storm, dropping 6-12" in N. GA if i remember correctly. 2011 was a crazy year. We had 55" in January alone. We even got a foot of snow on Halloween 2011, which even for where I was living was pretty nuts that early. This is the year before I moved, and this was the reason I did so. I'd had enough (also it's pretty expensive to live there).
 
Snowfall in the Carolinas

Public service announcement



If you are new to North Carolina we are about to experience “NC Winter”. This is 6 or 7 days of cold, maybe some ice and snow. News will threaten snow. It may snow, it may not and if the news says 2 inches it could be 10 or it could be 1/2”. It doesn’t matter how much snow it is, we’ll all freak out because we don’t see snow often.



The threat of snow (or ice) from the good ol’ news is your prompt to head to the grocery store and buy milk, eggs and bread. It doesn’t matter if you need these items. It’s just what we do.



Everyone in town will be there.



You’ll also need to make a mad dash for faucet covers and finding them and getting out of the store will be like an episode of the hunger games.



You’re in the redneck district.



Don’t look for a sled. You won’t find one. In the rare chance we get enough ice or snow to sled grab some cardboard or a trash can lid and go find the nearest hill.



Just go with it.

You’ll be fine.



We don’t have equipment to handle the winter and weather. The roads will be a mess and even though the state has been telling you for a week they’re ready, they’re not and it won’t work. Just stay home if you can and if you can’t just come to terms with the fact that nobody here knows how to drive in snow and ice.



Whatever you do, DO NOT talk about snow tires.



If you happen to slide off the road or get stuck, turn your flashers on, take a deep breath and wait. Two guys in a four wheel drive truck will be along in no time to offer assistance. Don’t try to help them, they live for this stuff, and will do what they can to get you back on the road. If either one of them screams “hey y’all watch this” just get back and get your phone out and start recording, you’ll probably have a viral video.



Also of note, when they offer you beer and deer sticks, don’t be rude, take them and smile.

No matter what you do, don’t talk about how they did it back home in any of these scenarios.

Nobody cares.



You live in North Carolina now.



When we act like we’re going to die and start to complain about the 7 days of winter just shut up, we’re serious and we don’t care how much you love it.



We don’t.



You’ll be back in shorts and flip flops in a week to ten days, tops, and it’ll be nice until right around Easter.



NC will have a “second winter” and it will be 2 or 3 days and will hit right around Easter, usually the week before or the week after. This will hit right around the time you plant flowers and a garden.

We know you’re not from around here when we see you’ve planted flowers before Easter and before the “second winter” has hit.

This is why all the people at the nursery don’t sound like us when you’re shopping for plants.



We know better.



During second winter it’ll go from 70 to 25 and you’ll experience all four seasons in one day.

This too shall pass, get used to it and when second winter is over you can enjoy the 3-4 weeks of “spring” before summer gets here and it’ll be melt your face off hot until sometime after Halloween.



 
I see the shutout is back on the table south of I-85 if the HRRR is right and this is the start of a trend.
 
If the HRRR, RAP, and NAMs keep this up, I'll be all rain before it's over with.
 
Snowfall in the Carolinas

Public service announcement



If you are new to North Carolina we are about to experience “NC Winter”. This is 6 or 7 days of cold, maybe some ice and snow. News will threaten snow. It may snow, it may not and if the news says 2 inches it could be 10 or it could be 1/2”. It doesn’t matter how much snow it is, we’ll all freak out because we don’t see snow often.



The threat of snow (or ice) from the good ol’ news is your prompt to head to the grocery store and buy milk, eggs and bread. It doesn’t matter if you need these items. It’s just what we do.



Everyone in town will be there.



You’ll also need to make a mad dash for faucet covers and finding them and getting out of the store will be like an episode of the hunger games.



You’re in the redneck district.



Don’t look for a sled. You won’t find one. In the rare chance we get enough ice or snow to sled grab some cardboard or a trash can lid and go find the nearest hill.



Just go with it.

You’ll be fine.



We don’t have equipment to handle the winter and weather. The roads will be a mess and even though the state has been telling you for a week they’re ready, they’re not and it won’t work. Just stay home if you can and if you can’t just come to terms with the fact that nobody here knows how to drive in snow and ice.



Whatever you do, DO NOT talk about snow tires.



If you happen to slide off the road or get stuck, turn your flashers on, take a deep breath and wait. Two guys in a four wheel drive truck will be along in no time to offer assistance. Don’t try to help them, they live for this stuff, and will do what they can to get you back on the road. If either one of them screams “hey y’all watch this” just get back and get your phone out and start recording, you’ll probably have a viral video.



Also of note, when they offer you beer and deer sticks, don’t be rude, take them and smile.

No matter what you do, don’t talk about how they did it back home in any of these scenarios.

Nobody cares.



You live in North Carolina now.



When we act like we’re going to die and start to complain about the 7 days of winter just shut up, we’re serious and we don’t care how much you love it.



We don’t.



You’ll be back in shorts and flip flops in a week to ten days, tops, and it’ll be nice until right around Easter.



NC will have a “second winter” and it will be 2 or 3 days and will hit right around Easter, usually the week before or the week after. This will hit right around the time you plant flowers and a garden.

We know you’re not from around here when we see you’ve planted flowers before Easter and before the “second winter” has hit.

This is why all the people at the nursery don’t sound like us when you’re shopping for plants.



We know better.



During second winter it’ll go from 70 to 25 and you’ll experience all four seasons in one day.

This too shall pass, get used to it and when second winter is over you can enjoy the 3-4 weeks of “spring” before summer gets here and it’ll be melt your face off hot until sometime after Halloween.




Facts 👌
 
Since it is kind of dead in here, Upstate peeps, what are some common aspects of our climatology that seem not to be always picked up by models and how does that impact your predictions?

I’m thinking things like CAD, warm noses QPF being under modeled, etc.

I see forecasts like NWS GSP and I wonder if they even take the above into account sometimes.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Still thinking personally that we're probably going to come just short of a much more interesting event considering temps, but it does appear like if it can wetbulb down in time that we're probably going to wind up with sleet tomorrow morning based off the short range? (really doubt any kind of snow)

It'll be for the better if so ultimately. It looks a degree or two short and probably 30-50 miles to the north short, and if whoever near me does get some noteworthy icing it's going to be a problem.
 
Even the FutureCast Model flips me over to rain, lol. It was showing all snow for me yesterday morning. So typical. #climo
 
Well, I've been doing a lot of traveling this week. I was in Dahlonega and now i'm in Cedartown. Hopefully Cedartown gets a little snow.
 
Oops, accidentally posted my whining in the main thread. Let's try that again:
Screenshot 2025-01-09 at 8.52.40 PM.png
Screenshot 2025-01-09 at 9.06.12 PM.png

Disappointingly low HRRR run, but probably realistic at this point. Would be annoying to have a bunch of sleet to steal the bulk of snow, because, as I said before, sleet sucks. but we've known that would probably be the outcome (for CLT and probably RAL as well) but what can you do. I still think there will be an area maybe in the triad that pops a bit from wherever that band shows up, so gotta hope you're in that jackpot if you're in NC. Still want to manifest one last nice tick south though.

Have to believe there will be another storm sooner than later that puts us back in range of something beyond praying for an inch.

Sidenote, why are these snow depth change maps so different from the total snow 10:1 maps? Do they count only snow, not sleet? Genuine question
 
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