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Misc Cold Season Complaining

Good ---- over night boys. Was expecting to wake up to a kick in the nuts. Guess that’s coming later today instead.
I’ve been prepping myself slowly over the last 36 hours. It will be a comment from Fro and it will sound something like “yeah this is worse”

That’s when you know
 
Wow! Keep in mind that these are 10:1 maps so the northwest side should be a little higher. Definitely doesn't amp up the coast at the end.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-total_snow_10to1-1736229600-1736618400-1736618400-40.gif
I'm still recovering from the ENS burns I received just last week. Love the trends love it's 4-5 day range, so cautiously optimistic but I'll feel good when I see it on the ground lol
 
Perfect scenario for NeGa and NW upstate is it remain clear thursday night and max out lows in the low to mid 20's. Clouds start rolling in friday morning capping the cold and only warm to the mid 30's as precip starts to fall into the dry air. The timing is really going to mean a lot toward that front end thump! I personally think Ne Ga is golden and the mountains of SC. Gonna see some big totals with the bust being high end (getting much more snow than forecasted).
Of course Highlands and Cashiers and Toxaway will get buried!
 
Hey Brent. How much snow did you see out in Missouri? Was it a all time great storm where you were at. Your like me, I would drive 6-7 hours just to see some snow I love it so much.

11 inches at the airport 5 miles from where I was. It had a couple really good peaks for sure

And yes some of my friends couldn't understand why I went 🤣
 
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Perfect scenario for NeGa and NW upstate is it remain clear thursday night and max out lows in the low to mid 20's. Clouds start rolling in friday morning capping the cold and only warm to the mid 30's as precip starts to fall into the dry air. The timing is really going to mean a lot toward that front end thump! I personally think Ne Ga is golden and the mountains of SC. Gonna see some big totals with the bust being high end (getting much more snow than forecasted).
Of course Highlands and Cashiers and Toxaway will get buried!
Yeah I agree, I think anywhere North of 85 in the NW upstate stays mainly all snow
 
We're getting to that four-day (to storm) mark and we should start seeing closer model consistency. This is about the time we knew the last event was going to be a Virginia north storm. Of course, there were a couple of surprises at game time but still the models about had the setup at day 4. So, I think this is going to be one of the biggest runs of the models coming up at 12z.
 
We're getting to that four-day (to storm) mark and we should start seeing closer model consistency. This is about the time we knew the last event was going to be a Virginia north storm. Of course, there were a couple of surprises at game time but still the models about had the setup at day 4. So, I think this is going to be one of the biggest runs of the models coming up at 12z.
With the storm energy coming on shore in Alaska that should be included in the 12z model run. I for one hope that there are no big changes unless they are positive. We are getting closer to game time for sure.
 
richmond has no water. woke up this morning to nothing in the taps after we were told it would be restored last night. i wish i were kidding https://www.12onyourside.com/2025/01/07/boil-water-advisory-continues-richmond/

winter storm took out a pump

this city is not run well and we're really hoping a new mayor not from the "richmond machine" will help

meanwhile i am shoveling snow into the toilet tank so i can use the restroom. happy tuesday
 
richmond has no water. woke up this morning to nothing in the taps after we were told it would be restored last night. i wish i were kidding https://www.12onyourside.com/2025/01/07/boil-water-advisory-continues-richmond/

winter storm took out a pump

this city is not run well and we're really hoping a new mayor not from the "richmond machine" will help

meanwhile i am shoveling snow into the toilet tank so i can use the restroom. happy tuesday
How much snow did you end up with? Sleet too?
 
How much snow did you end up with? Sleet too?
depends on how you measure. I got about 2.2 in the front end thump. i'm not going to lie, i'm still a little salty, i think that extension to the south giving the NC border counties a dusting really stole some oomph from me! i need to check but i think places to the south/west of me got 3-4, at least on social media

i didn't see a single sleet pellet. we got zr yesterday but it was marginal in my neck of the woods

the back end gave everyone a consistent 0.5-1 inch to finish, which is very pretty this morning. i would say i have about 2.5 on the ground but because that bottom layer is so compact, it's pulling the weight of a 4 incher

all in all content and happy, what happened was exactly what i was expecting. however, here's a hot take. snow on sunday night/monday kind of sucks. it weighs down the entire week with inconvenience. which is why i'm overjoyed this next event is on a saturday
 
On a lot of the overnight modeling, I’m sitting pretty damn near the jackpot for non-mountainous NC. Quite nervous as I’m also not too many miles from a lot of mixing, and we know how that usually goes…The trend is good, though.
 
Might be wishcasting but man I really think models are underdoing the cold air in place ahead of this storm. I understand the CAD will be weak sauce. But it's not like this Winter storm be moving in after a period of above average temperatures. When it starts snowing, I am telling you right now it is going to stick immediately.
Honestly, the 1/5 system overperformed for a lot of people, it seemed like. We just had rain in the forecast and got several hours of sleet / mix and got a dusting. Not significant but also more than expected. Could be good tidings.
 
NAM is overhated. It has its whiffs like all models, but I’ve seen it stunt on the other models also and be first to the scoop
The NAM can work but it had a big win in 2017. It was alone showing a huge dump of snow while the others were a couple inches at best yet ATL as an area saw up over a foot in parts. If we see a deform band really pivot somewhere, watch out as that may become reality.
 
Honestly, the 1/5 system overperformed for a lot of people, it seemed like. We just had rain in the forecast and got several hours of sleet / mix and got a dusting. Not significant but also more than expected. Could be good tidings.
microclimating. I got zilch on that system. Im only 15 miles south. Heard others out towards Calvander just NW of Chapel Hill it stayed sleet for a good while.
 
microclimating. I got zilch on that system. Im only 15 miles south. Heard others out towards Calvander just NW of Chapel Hill it stayed sleet for a good while.
To be fair, I was up in S Durham for it running some errands and not at my house in NE Chapel Hill (near the interstate). My house might’ve gotten less, or none.

I also saw a few flakes mixed in around New Hope Creek.
 
Funny that we spent all yesterday afternoon with temps around freezing and windchills in the teens...but the official high was still 3 degrees above normal (54 degrees at 5:39 AM). Feels like we got robbed of a cold day in the climo data lol.
 
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Can we rename the storm thread? It’s confusing to new members that I invite to the board..if not embarrassing
 
Can we rename the storm thread? It’s confusing to new members that I invite to the board..if not embarrassing

What do you mean? Do you think we should make it Winter Storm Cora so all the fb fiends and casuals can ask us how much snow in their exact backyard and time?
 
I-20 here in the Atlanta area is like the Great Wall of China for us just 25-30 miles south of it when it comes to snow vs rain☹️
 
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