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Misc Cold Season Complaining

might take the family to Sugar Top next weekend. Feels like they won’t fail here but need to watch through Sunday night
 
jackendrickwx said:
You can’t lie. Missing out on snow with these numbers in early Jan is would be tough (shouldn’t write anything off)
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I'm most mad that we are losing what should be an easy shot at a low end to moderate event, we can make fantasy's about huge snows but this pattern was easy to produce a nice general 1-4 event for a big part of the region. I'm not mad about the cold at all. Last 2 years with nothing more than a fleeting cold day in the heart of winter sucks.

I will say the first half of 2014 looked good on paper as well and we did nothing with itcompday.2_EmgQeK0v.gif

As mad as I am about this currently and as much as I want to say some wild things the ends of the means aren't bad at all and there may be a window just after mid month that isn't bad. It may go later but we are likely getting into a miller b crap fest by that point
 
Shawn said:
Welp. Temp issues for mby. I'm checking out of this threat and wishing everyone else a good luck. I don't need or want the ice by any means.
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Shawn said:
Seeing temp issues so far out for mby is worrying, and should be to those north of me since we are so far out from a potential event
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Shawn said:
I'd assume this is temperature issues?
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Shawn said:
I don't feel so crazy having temp worries now. The ice has left mby thankfully per GFS.
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^ tried to let you guys down easily since 5PM yesterday. nobody wanted to hear it.
 
Bigedd09 said:
I think everyone needs to chill. We are 7+ days out. Models struggle 3 days out. Precip was in the gulf yesterday and now it's a cutter. Ensembles don't support a cutter. We are good. There are always days with bad model runs. We will be raging with a pizza party at midnight. LFG
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MY BOY LETS GOOOO!
 
So now we shall believe that the models will trend less amped and colder. Alrighty.

When in theory history has proven otherwise. Models are too cold in the long range and suppression is usually overdone.

Keep believing or something
 
This little gem popped up on my social media memories today from 2018 - brutally cold in Hilton Head for the new year - I left just ahead of the snow. This pic is from Shelter Cove
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
packfan98 said:
No, bro. Be excited. We need something to root for. It’s also a pretty amazing feet to get a positive south trend this close to an event. Bring it home!
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i have warm nose hesitations

also i'm shocked it took *3 years* to have an event where my geography finally advantages me compared to rest of the board
 
Shawn said:
So now we shall believe that the models will trend less amped and colder. Alrighty.

When in theory history has proven otherwise. Models are too cold in the long range and suppression is usually overdone.

Keep believing or something
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Yea its hard not to agree with ya give the past 5 years or so on how things have played out. I just never really saw the cold push but liked the suppressed look which would have put you and Mitch borderline after the NW trend started. We just don't get the blocking and true Cad events anymore. I wanna believe it can change back for the good but so many things pointing in the wrong direction at this point. Usually if yall are fighting temp issues south of me I can catch a decent snow up this way.
 
Oconeexman said:
Yea its hard not to agree with ya give the past 5 years or so on how things have played out. I just never really saw the cold push but liked the suppressed look which would have put you and Mitch borderline after the NW trend started. We just don't get the blocking and true Cad events anymore. I wanna believe it can change back for the good but so many things pointing in the wrong direction at this point. Usually if yall are fighting temp issues south of me I can catch a decent snow up this way.
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That's my biggest thing. It's still far enough out that if it's warm here, I fear it will be warm by the storm date to the North. Usually upstate and NC want mby to be borderline at best
 
Shawn said:
So now we shall believe that the models will trend less amped and colder. Alrighty.

When in theory history has proven otherwise. Models are too cold in the long range and suppression is usually overdone.

Keep believing or something
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Most of the models trended towards suppression today. Euro/Euro AI/Cmc/Icon/GEFS/EPS all suppressed for this storm. I'm not following.

GFS was/is the only model that amped up this system today. It's also the only model still dropping wintry weather for some of us.
 
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There’s still time to save this threat. Ukmet and gfs weren’t awful. Maybe the euro ai will suck the cut off back in at 18z. It had been pretty consistent.
 
Why does People say it's done when we're still 7 days out??? I mean D..m things change every run. Now we get to Mon or Tues and things look bad then yeah may be time to start getting closer to the ledge. But until then why get all emotional over one days runs? Blows my mind I've never understood
 
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Twister said:
Why does People say it's done when we're still 7 days out??? I mean D..m things change every run. Now we get to Mon or Tues and things look bad then yeah may be time to start getting closer to the ledge. But until then why get all emotional over one days runs? Blows my mind I've never understood
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We're all mentally ill, the white coats are coming for us.
 
Twister said:
Why does People say it's done when we're still 7 days out??? I mean D..m things change every run. Now we get to Mon or Tues and things look bad then yeah may be time to start getting closer to the ledge. But until then why get all emotional over one days runs? Blows my mind I've never understood
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You know if this thing cuts hard you might could get in on the warm sector and get you some tornados.
 
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