• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Caperil 2021

12Z GEFS: coldest run yet through virtually the entire run thanks to impressive -NAO. There's hope the SE actually won't have too intense a torch soon after the early April chill that's coming. Fingers crossed!
 
Likely overdone quite a bit due to persistent cold bias, but the idea is a chilly 4/2 afternoon, regardless:

ecmop_12_t2ms_us_h_0180.png

Look at Greenland!

ecmop_12_h500_nx_h_0180.png
 
It isn't going to be in the low 40s for highs. The coldest it'll be will probably be the low - mid 50s in the carolinas due to lack of snow cover up north. For one/two days.
 
Lickwx said:
Welcome to the top 3 coldest April days in history how may we help you... yeah no . The models have been overdoing cold like no other as of late . They are still stuck in winter mode .
Click to expand...
I don’t really think there is any sort of winter mode or anything like that on them, but they do have cold bias right now. That said, even with the cold bias, we’re probably talking about highs in 50-55 degree if it’s clear, which is a fairly significant cold shot for early April. Hopefully there is just enough cloud cover to keep things from bottoming out too much at night. After that, it will be interesting to see how long this -NAO persists... it won’t have as much effect on temperatures the further we go, but it could lead to a longer severe weather season if it hangs around like last spring
 
Chazwin said:
I don’t really think there is any sort of winter mode or anything like that on them, but they do have cold bias right now. That said, even with the cold bias, we’re probably talking about highs in 50-55 degree if it’s clear, which is a fairly significant cold shot for early April. Hopefully there is just enough cloud cover to keep things from bottoming out too much at night. After that, it will be interesting to see how long this -NAO persists... it won’t have as much effect on temperatures the further we go, but it could lead to a longer severe weather season if it hangs around like last spring
Click to expand...
Yeah perhaps not, it just seems they struggle more in early spring than they do at any other time of year
 
Bham 99 said:
I think I remember a few weeks ago that @Lickwx scolded us for saying it could get into the forties this time of year. Hmmm.
Click to expand...
Hmmmmm misrepresenting what was said! You said it was commonplace , and the norm in fact for multiple highs in the 40s. All I did was correct that by showing that in fact , on average, April does not see any highs under 50.

@Sleet City USA your on climo bro probation if you keep this anti climo behavior going .
 
Lickwx said:
Hmmmmm misrepresenting what was said! You said it was commonplace , and the norm in fact for multiple highs in the 40s. All I did was correct that by showing that in fact , on average, April does not see any highs under 50.
Click to expand...
I don't think I said multiple days in the 40s even I know that doesn't happen...hmmm.. sounds like a swamp donkey is trying to change his story....hmmmmmm
 
Bham 99 said:
I don't think I said multiple days in the 40s even I know that doesn't happen...hmmm.. sounds like a swamp donkey is trying to change his story....hmmmmmm
Click to expand...
Do I need to go back and find it lol? You very much did ! Not too mention I didn’t say we couldn’t see highs that cold, I was challenging your narrative that it was climo.
 
Lickwx said:
Do I need to go back and find it lol? You very much did ! Not too mention I didn’t say we couldn’t see highs that cold, I was challenging your narrative that it was climo.
Click to expand...
I did it for you.

Bham 99 said:
You're a good one to be talking about being disappointed because it's not torch. It is normal for temperatures to be in the forties at times in the month of April for the 40th time.
Click to expand...
 
Euro and EPS continue to agree on mid 40s for highs Friday at least they only have 1 night below freezing. Some of the recent cmc/gfs/icon runs have been ugly
 
Definitely beginning to get concerned about the potential damage to berry and peach farms in the Carolinas on both Thursday and Friday nights as it appears that both nights could have at least several hours with temperatures below freezing
 
  • Like
Reactions: SD
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top