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Pattern Arid August

After Debby finishes her tour of the Southeast the dry weather pattern the models are currently showing might be what is needed to recover from the flooding that she will probably leave in her wake. I feel for the agricultural interests in the Eastern portions of the Southeast. After experiencing moderate to severe drought in some cases they will now have to deal with flooded fields and croplands. I hope they are covered by crop insurance.
 
JHS said:
East of 1-77 in NC will not get a drought soon, but Alabama, Mississippi, much of Georgia, and western SC will be hit hard by drought. Expect D3-D4 in many of those areas by Sept 1.
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Dude. We just got more than a foot of rain in a couple weeks. We could bake until October and still be fine water wise.
 
EmersonGA said:
Dude. We just got more than a foot of rain in a couple weeks. We could bake until October and still be fine water wise.
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Not according to the drought monitor. It has moderate drought over a good bit of north GA and Alabama with a small area of severe drought in Tennessee.
 
JHS said:
Not according to the drought monitor. It has moderate drought over a good bit of north GA and Alabama with a small area of severe drought in Tennessee.
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I don't really care what it shows. I know the ground truth which is we are good and my creek has more water in it than ever in the summer.
 
JHS said:
East of 1-77 in NC will not get a drought soon, but Alabama, Mississippi, much of Georgia, and western SC will be hit hard by drought. Expect D3-D4 in many of those areas by Sept 1.
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Many areas of North and Central Alabama received 10” or more rainfall in July. We are good for awhile.
 
I thought we had a spell of nice weather in August a few years ago around mid-month, turns out it was 2014. To get back to the 11/12th timeframe you're looking at 2008 at least here in the coastal plain.

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SD said:
It's pouring its poured around 530 this morning. If you had told me in mid June the next 60 days would be like this I would have laughed until I died
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SnowNiner said:
Starting to think the same phenomenon that's causing our warm winters makes us abnormally wet all year as well. I bet we stay above normal precip this summer. Could be wrong though.
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I told everyone in May! Lol. Wet summers is our jam now, just like warm winters. The pattern continues.
 
JHS said:
Drought will be the big story for many of us now. Much of the southeast may very well not see rain again this month.
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JHS said:
It also says we bake again after this storm with maybe the hottest temps we have had so far.

Edit: The regular Euro has us baking, the AI Euro is not as hot, but both look dry after Debby.
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JHS said:
East of 1-77 in NC will not get a drought soon, but Alabama, Mississippi, much of Georgia, and western SC will be hit hard by drought. Expect D3-D4 in many of those areas by Sept 1.
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Shetley, I have to ask. Why do you post so many of these drought and heat apocalyptic posts when they NEVER come close to verifying? Every year it's the same posts and they are so out there it's silly. I truly do think you're a great member and post some good and insightful stuff but your heat and drought posts make no sense. Where does this come from?
 
weather bubba said:
https://www.wral.com/story/degrees-...hind-temperatures-taking-off-at-rdu/21521863/

I'm not certain if I should post this link here but this is an interesting story about the KRDU temperature sensor controversy and its higher readings than surrounding stations during the heat wave earlier this summer.
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I complained so many times to KFFC about KATL's sensor the past few years, it was almost harassment. This year it has been far better. Temperature swings of four degrees in five minutes late in the afternoon is not acceptable for any professional weather station.
 
The heat is gonna come back but dang... that's about as nice as it gets in mid August here. Also it's still been a better summer than the last two. Hopefully that's a good sign for winter because ironically thats also been 2 in a row that sucked Screenshot_20240807_221931_The Weather Channel.jpg
 
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As of yesterday morning’s update I had received 10.3” from Debby. I’ve since had an additional 0.6” to give me a Debby grand total (over 3 days) of 10.9”, easily the largest amount from a single event here since Matthew of Oct 7-8, 2016.

Together with the 10” I got 7/19-8/3 from PM convection, I’ve received 20.9” during just the 20 day period of 7/19-8/7. Thus, any possible heavy rains from tropical or other during the next few weeks could be extra problematic.
 
Mid 70s for Caesar's Head next week. Not too shabby for first half of Aug! 😍

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Monday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
 
I’m in yellow in NW Georgia, and unfortunately my area hasn’t received a single drop of rain from Debbie or anything else since then. Feels like when the next map comes out, there will be a vast sea of white, with one tiny square of orange centered right over my house. lol.
 
MamaJen said:
I’m in yellow in NW Georgia, and unfortunately my area hasn’t received a single drop of rain from Debbie or anything else since then. Feels like when the next map comes out, there will be a vast sea of white, with one tiny square of orange centered right over my house. lol.
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Rain chances are gone until third week in August it appears. We will be orange again by then.
 
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