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Pattern Ablazing August

I have decided to use the power of veto on myself. HOH, since I have removed myself off, you must choose a replacement nominee for eviction.
 
Good news is that I don’t see a real signifigant time period where we don’t see some sort of relief in the flow with a front of some tropical moisture connection that gives us rain… still would suspect drought conditions will continue to not be a story for the SE for a while
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Good news is that I don’t see a real signifigant time period where we don’t see some sort of relief in the flow with a front of some tropical moisture connection that gives us rain… still would suspect drought conditions will continue to not be a story for the SE for a while
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Sun angle doing down , length of day going down. Amount of evaporation happening in a day is going down. Takes less rain to keep us out of drought , albeit probably not that much less than peak summer just yet.
 
SD said:
Don't see much reason to believe much of NC can't reach the mid 90s Friday and upper 90s Saturday and Sunday then mid 90s Monday and Tuesday before easing back down to around 90 mid next week
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Fall weather looks completely off the table for at least 2 weeks.
 
Rain Cold said:
Fall weather looks completely off the table for at least 2 weeks.
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Yep as long as we are looking at thisecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_11 (4).png
Forget about fall. Maybe by the week of the 5th we can see this break up a little. I'd be keeping my eyes glued to the tropics over the next 10-14 door is wide open but with the ridge that strong we might just see a parade into south Texas/ northern mexico
 
SD said:
Yep as long as we are looking at thisView attachment 88999
Forget about fall. Maybe by the week of the 5th we can see this break up a little. I'd be keeping my eyes glued to the tropics over the next 10-14 door is wide open but with the ridge that strong we might just see a parade into south Texas/ northern mexico
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Hopefully by mid-September we start cooling off. I can't even stomach the thought of widespread 90s into October.
 
SD said:
Yep as long as we are looking at thisView attachment 88999
Forget about fall. Maybe by the week of the 5th we can see this break up a little. I'd be keeping my eyes glued to the tropics over the next 10-14 door is wide open but with the ridge that strong we might just see a parade into south Texas/ northern mexico
Click to expand...

Yeah I was thinking about the tropics and it looks to my eye that the SE will continue to be spared. Ridge placement favors south tracks and by the time it breaks down, we'll probably be in cold front season.
3rd
 
Rain Cold said:
Yeah I was thinking about the tropics and it looks to my eye that the SE will continue to be spared. Ridge placement favors south tracks and by the time it breaks down, we'll probably be in cold front season.
3rd
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My job requires me to work more when there is a "bad" weather event; specifically anything that floods roads. It kills me to hope storms stay away since I'm also a weather nerd. But for right now, I sure hope you're right...
 
Tarheel1 said:
It’ll be a trough tomorrow
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That would be nice but unless we get some tropical systems thrown into the mix in the west pac or Atlantic it's going to take retrograding the high lat blocking to get a trough in the east, building the trough under the block or November. Not sure which comes first
 
SD said:
That would be nice but unless we get some tropical systems thrown into the mix in the west pac or Atlantic it's going to take retrograding the high lat blocking to get a trough in the east, building the trough under the block or November. Not sure which comes first
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Well this sucks and CAMs not terribly excited about convection today and tomorrow either. We will surely bake this weekend and most of next week, I don't care what days of summer have ended or the freaking sun angle, its gonna suck
 
metwannabe said:
Well this sucks and CAMs not terribly excited about convection today and tomorrow either. We will surely bake this weekend and most of next week, I don't care what days of summer have ended or the freaking sun angle, its gonna suck
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Yep even with the front next week we just go back to average. Maybe we get lucky and cut something off late next week on the eastern side of the ridge but that doesn't seem likely.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Good news is that I don’t see a real signifigant time period where we don’t see some sort of relief in the flow with a front of some tropical moisture connection that gives us rain… still would suspect drought conditions will continue to not be a story for the SE for a while
Click to expand...

metwannabe said:
Well this sucks and CAMs not terribly excited about convection today and tomorrow either. We will surely bake this weekend and most of next week, I don't care what days of summer have ended or the freaking sun angle, its gonna suck
Click to expand...

SD said:
Yep even with the front next week we just go back to average. Maybe we get lucky and cut something off late next week on the eastern side of the ridge but that doesn't seem likely.
Click to expand...

One of theese is not like the other....
 
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