Pattern Ablazing August

[Myfrotho704_]

Lots of lower topped showers out there must be a warm layer aloft

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Lots of lower topped showers out there must be a warm layer aloft

Yup...

 

[smast16]

This is out there

Physical Oceanography Division

Since it's in kJ/cm-2 and that doesn't mean a lot to me I just assume high good for strong storms low is bad

Kilo Joules per Centimeter squared.

Which means that TCHP isnt taking depth into consideration because then you'd think it'd be KJ / Cm^3 (cubed)...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Lots of lower topped showers out there must be a warm layer aloft

I know! Talk about an actual popcorn thunderstorm type of day lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Kilo Joules per Centimeter squared.

Which means that TCHP isnt taking depth into consideration because then you'd think it'd be KJ / Cm^3 (cubed)...

Some more acronyms for @Rain Cold

 

[Rain Cold]

Some more acronyms for @Rain Cold

 

[WeatherNC]

Up to 62.68” on the year, 7.87 month to date with 4.88 from the last event. 1-2 tropical systems and 100” is within reach.

 

[RBR71]

I’ve always wanted to find the heat content link . That’s much more revealing than SST. How deep does the warm water go so if a hurricane moves through will it have a rich source of warm water or just shallow stuff they gets easily upwelled .

That’s actually what I was looking for. Weatherbell used to have a link for it, but I can’t find it anymore.

Probably better links out there somewhere but the link below has current and you can search back to 2011

Physical Oceanography Division

 

[SD]

Kilo Joules per Centimeter squared.

Which means that TCHP isnt taking depth into consideration because then you'd think it'd be KJ / Cm^3 (cubed)...

 

[cd2play]

Kilo Joules per Centimeter squared.

Which means that TCHP isnt taking depth into consideration because then you'd think it'd be KJ / Cm^3 (cubed)...

Is it another systematic crash?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Vomit

 

[GaWx]

If ablazing August means ablazed in rainfall, we're getting it nicely today with a heavy thunderstorm as a band goes through. We already have some of the typical street flooding. Before this, we were already near 1.5" in August to date. We're easily over 2" MTD now. About 9" last month. No drought worries at all here.

This ended up giving me ~1.35”. I’m nearing 3” MTD.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This has potential with re-ignition

 

[SD]

This has potential with re-ignition View attachment 87821

Hot and fresh out the kitchen

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hot and fresh out the kitchen

right into the hungry peoples tables

 

[SD]

right into the hungry peoples tables View attachment 87823

That's a solid wave train just to our north. I'm worried we close off just enough aloft that we watch Va get storms and we get disappointed cumulus

 

[Tarheel1]

Tomorrow could be fun!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

tues/wed look good, then we get the good cape in on thurs and good lapse rates and boom no trigger for coverage

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Rainforest

 

[Chazwin]

Rainforest View attachment 87835

I was looking north from my deck and thought you might be getting one. Any lightning?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I was looking north from my deck and thought you might be getting one. Any lightning?

Nope mid levels are to warm

 

[cd2play]

Wait! I...I... gotta tell you about this book I been reading... micro-meteorology; which is one of my favorite biologies

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ye

 

[smast16]

tues/wed look good, then we get the good cape in on thurs and good lapse rates and boom no trigger for coverageView attachment 87830View attachment 87831View attachment 87832

Story of Summer in Nc. When we finally get the fatty, no push...

 

[SD]

Story of Summer in Nc. When we finally get the fatty, no push...

At least you have a chance for some mountain storms to meander over your way. It's hard to find much reason to believe we see anything here other than the neighborhood size pop up until the weekend.

 

[RBR71]

At least you have a chance for some mountain storms to meander over your way. It's hard to find much reason to believe we see anything here other than the neighborhood size pop up until the weekend.

I have a feeling we might be sick of rain before this month is out

 

[Zander98al]

Goodmorning from Bingham.

Sent from my moto g power using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Incredible how much the hrrr backed off

 

[SD]

I have a feeling we might be sick of rain before this month is out

Yeah once we lose the influence of the bermuda ridge rain chances should be high Sunday through most of next week regardless of the PTC

 

[Shaggy]

Yeah once we lose the influence of the bermuda ridge rain chances should be high Sunday through most of next week regardless of the PTC

Yeah forecast of low to mid 90s with no rain chances for us. Gonna be gross out with the humidity and saturated grounds.as much as I need to dry out I may be wishing for rain to cool us off.

 

[RBR71]

Yeah once we lose the influence of the bermuda ridge rain chances should be high Sunday through most of next week regardless of the PTC

Yeah after I posted that went and looked at the models little closer, shoot if the Euro is right and the bermuda flexes sending any remnant tropical moisture west of us, we might not be sick of rain. Lol

 

[SD]

Yeah forecast of low to mid 90s with no rain chances for us. Gonna be gross out with the humidity and saturated grounds.as much as I need to dry out I may be wishing for rain to cool us off.

Agreed its basically 90 with a dew of 75 from today through at least Saturday.

 

[smast16]

I have a feeling we might be sick of rain before this month is out

Blasphemy!

 

[Zander98al]

I gotta say this mornings humidity is very mange able it feels like a fall afternoon almost. No instant sweat from doing basic work outside lol

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[SD]

Yeah after I posted that went and looked at the models little closer, shoot if the Euro is right and the bermuda flexes sending any remnant tropical moisture west of us, we might not be sick of rain. Lol

No kidding hold the bermuda ridge 48 more hours and we have no effects. At least we are 30 days from our real seasonal cool down starting

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Incredible how much the hrrr backed off View attachment 87849

It’s the HRRR man what did you expect

 

[SD]

Incredible how much the hrrr backed off View attachment 87849

Lol then it jumps on tomorrow like a June bug on a turd

 

[NorthDFWwx]

The low clouds that have blown in from the Hill Country the past several mornings have made for some interesting sunrises.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

No kidding hold the bermuda ridge 48 more hours and we have no effects. At least we are 30 days from our real seasonal cool down starting

It’s all down hill from here … another summer without any 100+ heat

 

[Shaggy]

Agreed its basically 90 with a dew of 75 from today through at least Saturday.

Yeah they have us at 93 Thursday and Friday which is gonna be rough with dews in the low to mid 70s. 83/73 out there already this morning.