I think its just site specific
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Pattern Ablazing August
- Thread starter SD
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Z
Zander98al
Guest
My guess is an explosion at the mine. Startled all the birds and they flew off in each direction.
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Downeastnc
Member
They do really big demo's to break new ground from time to time....
This makes sense the bigger returns locally are birds etc.....but the ring itself is probably a shockwave, especially given the atmospheric conditions this morning.....
Shaggy
Member
Yeah no doubt it originated at the mine. Here's an overview and it's clearly from the mine. There are big lakes there so the bug hatch idea that @SD said can't be ruled out. The pattern looks like shockwave to me. I've fished around that area my entire life and can't ever remember a demolition when inwas down there, not one that I heard anyways.
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BHS1975
Member
Looks like Brad p is going with the warmer side of guidance
cd2play
Member
The radar came down with the mumps... I mean, COVID
Typically you see bats/birds make that same sort of roost ring in many other states
Here’s a older one
Here’s a older one
Fog lifting? Nuke? Everybody ok down there?
He is but even he has come down a little… forecasting 94-95 yesterday
It recognizes the user, some know what Tor means, other's it has to spell it out for them.
It looks good based on what guidance is out there. The Euro and EPS are big on lowering dews and heating the I85 corridor while keeping the US1/95 corridors with higher dews and more average daytime highs. You can see the piedmont trough sharpening each afternoon on the Euro and as the week goes along it gets deeper and slightly farther east. Something to watch this week I've never paid enough attention to really see how the temp patterns play out when you really sharpen the piedmont trough and if it does heat the I85 corridor more than eastern areas
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LickWx
Member
I’ll take the higher heat !
Shaggy
Member
Looks similiar really. Thought it was interesting but we will probably never know for sure.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Reached a cool 69 degrees this morning. Felt good, was a bit muggy though. But that's the usual in the summer
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Me gusta
Downeastnc
Member
Got to 63 this morning....hi res models look rough tomorrow, ditches are still full from the other day, yard was still a little squishy etc.....hopefully we get through tomorrow with not much rain.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
????????
Decent training and a solid pivot point = some localized big time totals tomorrow .. HRRR has wanted it to be somewhere in central NC .. but we all know exact location won’t be known until we nowcast .. regardless someone is seeing a flash flood warning
LickWx
Member
That precip max looks perfectly placed over Jordan lake and apex ... don’t tell @Avalanche
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So far, August is not ablazing.
Dang Rah NWS going all in on tomorrow (this was from the morning update)
Rainfall totals for late tonight and Saturday will also likely need
a (possibly significant) upward adjustment with the afternoon
forecast package, with a narrow swath of 2-3" probable, locally
around 4", along and on the immediate cool side of the retreating
coastal front and frontal wave during that time.
Rainfall totals for late tonight and Saturday will also likely need
a (possibly significant) upward adjustment with the afternoon
forecast package, with a narrow swath of 2-3" probable, locally
around 4", along and on the immediate cool side of the retreating
coastal front and frontal wave during that time.
Going to be in Burlington tomorrow woo hoo
JHS
Member
Mostly a big miss back west. I can not imagine that little blob off by itself in upstate SC being right because i would get around 4 inches of rain if it was. The band from CLT and northeast is probably legit though.
Bannerdude
Member
2" radar estimates east of Chapel Hill near Jordan Lake already and its been pouring here too. Jordan Lake sink zone cancel.
Shaggy
Member
No surprise here but its pouring in Pitt County again
Shaggy
Member
Flood advisory now up as 1-3 have already fallen and an additional 1-2 more is possible. Looks like that 0z run of the hrrr that had widespread 2-4 with a 5.5 inch lollipop over the county was pretty spot on.
And this is before all the rain coming tonight and tomorrow .. there will be flash flooding I believe for some areas in the next 24 hours
Shaggy
Member
Heaviest totals missed the airport and official station again. This area of southern Pitt just southeast of my house has been getting crushed this summer. Pgv is a surplus of +15 and this area is several inches ahead of that. Just crazy how much rain we've been getting.
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My area aka the rain forest 
Not confidence-inspiring.
LickWx
Member
Any lightning yet or just plain rain so far ?
Just rain but the short range models don’t show any real/more robust convection until 3am and past that
Someone is getting a flash flood that’s for sure … I can’t wait to see the radar blossom and hear the heavy rain falling outside my window and if we’re really lucky we can maybe stay in the 70s tomorrow.. i dont know about The whole severe threat I would assume a severe gusts will be very few and far between 
LickWx
Member
Gl you staying up or waking up early ?
JHS
Member
The same places over and over with the rain. We need rain west of I-77, not EAST of there again. Central and eastern NC has had enough.
Gonna be Waking up early