Cadi40
Member
The main threat is obviously flooding for areas around Charlotte and Northwest.
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5/18/20 - 5/23/20 Upper Low Flooding & Severe Threat
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Global models aren't equipped to fully resolve warm advection, isentropic upglide, and orographic lift that will all be very big contributors to precipitation this week, especially in the western piedmont of NC & extreme upstate SC not to mention the convective, sporadic nature of much of this precip. Red flags everywhere on this setup suggest major over performance
That euro death band would definitely do the trick for flash flooding, that set up on Tuesday
Morning looks real interesting for big amounts of rain already
If the euro is right I’m about to get lightning photos coming in at a boatload, lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Literally every 6-hourly interval on today's 12z ECMWF has measurable precip in Charlotte beginning late tomorrow & lasting into early Saturday.
Time to invest my $1200 stimulus check in a boat.
Time to invest my $1200 stimulus check in a boat.
Friday imo looks good for severe wx as the ULL weakens and thermodynamics is able to rush in a bit with building heights, while wind energy still lingers, euro likes this day as it’s been showing this for multiple runs now 
Wow, what is the final total? Columbia SC now looks to be increasing in amount.Literally every 6-hourly interval on today's 12z ECMWF has measurable precip in Charlotte beginning late tomorrow & lasting into early Saturday.
Time to invest my $1200 stimulus check in a boat.
I know this isn’t really this week, but this looks so similar... lol, the similar look before we saw this upper level low come into play, pattern repetition lol 
whatalife
Moderator
Euro Hi-Res looks fun for this coming week.
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For upslope chasing, Boone, NC performs 9/10 times if you want flooding. Particularly the mall area. I can see that area getting 6”+.
HRRRv4 wants to develop some showers and storms around here near the midnight hour. I wouldn’t be opposed to some nighttime storms.
Jessy89
Member
Been busy but hrrv4, 2 QLCS lol 
Both hrrrs show embedded rotating supercells in the NEward moving QLCS ?
Well, we can at least say that this week will be far from boring, weather-wise.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
12z EPS is focusing in on the south-central portion of the Blue Ridge Escarpment and southwestern piedmont of NC & upstate SC.
Nearly a 6" mean in Spartanburg, SC.
Yikes.
Nearly a 6" mean in Spartanburg, SC.
Yikes.
Jessy89
Member
Never wish for severe weather it’s dangerous and damaging to people’s property. But I look forward to tracking it when it happens. Very unfortunate when severe weather happens though
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Give me this from Arthur and the rest of the week is gravy