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Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat

Monday's outlook has been shifted a bit further NW into far southern OK, and a broad 5% tornado risk area has been added (including DFW):

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SPC AC 030556

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 AM CDT Sun Apr 03 2022

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN OK
INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...SUMMARY...
A broad area of severe-thunderstorm potential will exist Monday
across central/eastern Texas, eastward into the Lower Mississippi
Valley vicinity through Monday night. Damaging wind gusts, large
hail and tornadoes will all be possible.

...OK/TX/ArkLaTex...

A somewhat broad, and neutral to positive-tilt upper trough over the
southwestern U.S. will develop eastward to the Ozarks/Sabine Valley
vicinity by Tuesday morning. As this occurs, increasing midlevel
southwesterly flow will overspread parts of central/eastern TX into
the Lower MS Valley. Additionally, a south/southwesterly low-level
jet will increase to around 40-50 kt during the evening and
overnight across eastern TX into the lower MS Valley. The evolution
of surface pattern appears somewhat messy and uncertain. A stalled
front will reside from northwest TX into central OK and the Mid-MS
Valley early in the period. Elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing
along this boundary Monday morning across OK and far north TX. This
activity should spread eastward or dissipate through the morning,
but steep midlevel lapse rates could allow for some marginal hail.

Southerly low-level flow will transport Gulf moisture northward
through the day, with 60s surface dewpoints as far north as the Red
River/far southern OK possible by afternoon. Mid to upper 60s
dewpoints may make it as far north as I-20. Coupled with steep
midlevel lapse rates, moderate destabilization is expected despite
somewhat modest diurnal heating. An EML/capping around 850-700 mb
will likely limit thunderstorm activity for much of the day across
TX. By early evening, a weak low is forecast to develop over
northwest TX and a cold front will shift east across OK/north TX to
the ArkLaTex overnight. Initial supercells are possible in the
vicinity of the surface low and southward along the cold
front/dryline composite. While storms maintain discrete mode, large
hail and damaging gusts will be possible across north/central TX.
However, it is unclear how long discrete cells may be maintained. An
increasing low-level jet and deep-layer flow parallel to the surface
boundary suggests upscale development into a QLCS is likely.
Nevertheless, favorable low-level shear will exist and support
mesovortex formation within any line that develops. Damaging gusts
and a few tornadoes appear possible across parts of north/east TX
into the ArkLaTex during the evening/nighttime hours.
 
Today's risk area has also been expanded a bit:

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SPC AC 030521

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1221 AM CDT Sun Apr 03 2022

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of southwest
Oklahoma into western Texas this afternoon and evening. Severe wind
gusts and large hail will be possible with these storms. A couple of
strong storms are also possible across the southern Florida
Peninsula.

...Synopsis...
Early-morning water vapor imagery reveals a prominent upper-level
shortwave trough transversing the Great Lakes region, with a pair of
weaker disturbances noted over the northern Rockies and approaching
the southern CA coast. A weak surface low over the upper OH River
Valley will migrate into the Northeast through the day while a lee
cyclone over the northern High Plains will shift into the Plains by
this evening. A lee trough/dryline will mix eastward into the Plains
through the afternoon in tandem with the northern High Plains low.
The combination of the falling surface pressure across the western
Plains and a modest lee cyclone over the southern High Plains will
strengthen southeasterly flow off the TX Gulf coast, spreading 50-55
F dewpoints into west TX and southwestern OK by late afternoon.

...Southwest Oklahoma into southwest Texas...
Thunderstorm development appears likely in the vicinity of a weak
surface low and along the surface trough/dryline, from southeast
NM/west TX into western OK around peak heating. The observed
Saturday evening Midland, TX RAOB reveals a dry boundary layer with
around 7 C/km lapse rates aloft, which should be maintained through
the day as weak broad scale ascent ahead of the CA wave steepens
lapse rates. Initial storms are forecast to develop in a
steep-lapse-rate environment, which may support a few dry
microbursts across southwest TX. Loosely organized convection will
move east by late afternoon/early evening into richer boundary-layer
moisture as flow aloft strengthens. Consequently, the risk for large
hail will accompany the more intense updrafts. Into the overnight
hours, waning instability will diminish the severe potential.
 
STP almost maxed out over south Alabama for the day 3 threat.
 
Latest Day 1 outlook was shrunken a bit and shifted ever so slightly SW:

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SPC AC 031620

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CDT Sun Apr 03 2022

Valid 031630Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OK AND
WESTERN NORTH TX...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe wind gusts and hail are most likely across parts of
southwest Oklahoma into west Texas, centered on 5 to 10 PM CDT. A
couple of strong to marginally severe storms are also possible
across southeast Florida.

...Southwest OK to west TX...
As a triple-point cyclone becomes established near KCDS, isolated
thunderstorms are expected to develop in the early evening just
ahead of this low in southwest OK and to the south-southwest of a
wavy dryline towards the Lower Pecos Valley of west TX. A deep
well-mixed boundary layer is expected near the dryline as surface
temperatures warm through the mid 80s to low 90s. Modified moisture
return will be limited to upper 40s to mid 50s surface dew points,
yielding a confined plume of modest buoyancy with 600-1200 J/kg
MLCAPE amid steep lapse rates. Effective bulk shear increasing to
around 40 kts near the triple point should foster a threat for a
couple high-based supercells. Otherwise, more muted deep-layer shear
along the dryline should tend to favor transient supercell/multicell
structures. Isolated severe wind gusts appear to be the most
probable hazard, but a few severe hail events are also possible. The
severe threat will wane after dusk as MLCIN rapidly increases given
the relatively dry boundary layer, despite elevated convection
likely increasing tonight in vicinity of the surface frontal zone
across OK.
 
As I sort of suspected would happen, there's now a broad enhanced risk area (including DFW) on the Day 2 outlook.
 
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SPC AC 031730

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 03 2022

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH
TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

...SUMMARY...
A broad area of severe-thunderstorm potential will exist Monday
across central/eastern Texas, eastward into the Lower Mississippi
Valley vicinity through Monday night. Damaging wind gusts, large
hail and tornadoes will all be possible.

...Central and northern Texas/southern Oklahoma east-southeastward
to Louisiana and southern Mississippi...
An upper trough is forecast to advance out of Desert
Southwest/southern Rockies into the central and southern Plains
Monday, supporting weak surface low pressure development over North
Texas. As this occurs, a cold front is forecast to advance
southward across the Panhandle and South Plains region, gradually
overtaking a dryline across the Concho Valley/Edwards Plateau area.


Ongoing/elevated convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start
of the period from western North Texas/Oklahoma east-northeastward
across the Ozarks vicinity, in a zone of warm advection north of a
warm front, expected to lie across northern Texas and into the lower
Mississippi Valley. As this boundary gradually shifts northward
toward the Red River Valley as the low develops, heating/moistening
of the warm sector will result in moderate destabilization, though
much of the warm sector will remain capped into the afternoon.

Eventually, ascent near the dryline/front, and the low itself,
should foster surface-based storm development -- perhaps as far west
as the Concho Valley depending upon the location of the surface
frontal advance. Initial storms will likely become supercells --
aided by favorably veering flow with height, and thus potential for
all-hazards severe weather will evolve locally.

With time, storms are expected to cluster together across the
north-central Texas vicinity, with upscale growth likely during the
evening as a strong southerly low-level jet develops. As the jet
increases/veers, and increasingly strong southwesterlies spread atop
the area, a well-organized -- eventually bowing -- MCS may evolve.
CAM guidance suggests this evolution, which would then shift quickly
east-southeastward across northeastern Texas through the evening and
eventually parts of northern and central Louisiana overnight,
reaching southwestern Mississippi late in the period. As such,
potential for a more widespread wind event is evident, supporting an
upgrade to 30% wind probability/ENH categorical risk. Along with
the wind potential, large hail will be possible locally. Some
tornado risk is also evident -- both with QLCS-type circulations
embedded in the linear convection, as well as with any
isolated/supercell storms which may evolve in advance of the MCS.

..Goss.. 04/03/2022

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1821Z (2:21PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
 
I've looked at all the Hi-Res models, and they all show the entire Metroplex getting hit pretty good tomorrow evening. It's the first time since I moved here that I've seen such a consensus.

Not a clean setup (synoptically-speaking), but could still deliver.
 
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How stupid, model trends are starting to show a derecho for the southern parts of Mississippi and Alabama now.

With accompanying prefrontal supercells.
 
Zander98al said:
How stupid, model trends are starting to show a derecho for the southern parts of Mississippi and Alabama now.

With accompanying prefrontal supercells.
Click to expand...

The upper level winds are definitely be supportive of a long track QLCS from whatever develops here in North Texas tomorrow, especially if a cold pool develops.

The question will be how far north the instability gets. Corfidi Vectors suggest more of a ENE track, but the instability gradient seems it will set up across Southern MS to Southern AL (thus suggesting a more SE track).
 
NorthDFWwx said:
The upper level winds are definitely be supportive of a long track QLCS from whatever develops here in North Texas tomorrow, especially if a cold pool develops.

The question will be how far north the instability gets. Corfidi Vectors suggest more of a ENE track, but the instability gradient seems it will set up across Southern MS to Southern AL (thus suggesting a more SE track).
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No way instability makes it further north than Birmingham. Your discrete cells look to ride the warm front. With these type of lows your lucky to see a quality warm sector 100 miles north of the gulf. Low posistioning favors your far south Alabama for tornadoes.
 
Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night might be the first actual severe threat of the year for N GA.

The amount of instability being modeled is quite impressive for the area, although shear is a question mark right now. IMO a wind and hail threat would be evident with at least a isolated tornado threat.

Certainly something to watch. I’m curious to see what anyone else thinks.
 
Depending on how fast the 1st wave moves through in Alabama and Mississippi you could have substantial moisture return into central Alabama.
 
Normally night time setups suck, but the euro has over 2000 jkgs of MUcape, very impressive for nighttime in April (embedded in a EML plume) and has a whole Lee trough with a Convective response… in the middle of the night, would likely be a damaging wind threat with large amounts of dry air aloft and moderate MLCAPE/steep mid level lapse rates EF04F163-173C-40E1-83AA-CE03320467A3.pngAC2A7AA2-F1E6-4D80-B66E-2AB227EB06BD.png
 
Speaking for NE Georgia upstate SC this could be similar to Seneca Tornado. The STPs appear really high and supportive of a strong tornado somewhere.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Normally night time setups suck, but the euro has over 2000 jkgs of MUcape, very impressive for nighttime in April (embedded in a EML plume) and has a whole Lee trough with a Convective response… in the middle of the night, would likely be a damaging wind threat with large amounts of dry air aloft and moderate MLCAPE/steep mid level lapse rates View attachment 116720View attachment 116721
Click to expand...
Is the only time we get convection in NC early morning or overnight?
 
I have to travel to Beaufort SC tomorrow....could finally see a storm!
 
dd430fdd8c1fcf9847990ad2c6916a25.jpg

How accurate is the NAM this far out? Some of the numbers from the Upstate on Wednesday night have caught my attention today.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Good grief 00z HRRR really has some nasty supercells across south Alabama along the warm front Tuesday morning. Broad open warm sector in south Alabama with multiple supercells. What do you think about south Alabama threat arc? @Arcc

*Just took a further look seems like most are elevated lol unless the HRRR is playing catch up to how close the instability is riding just south of the warm front. You'll probably have to wait until that main MCS gets closer for any type of supercell threat to materialize. Kinda wonder how accurate SB cape is projected seems a little wonky right now, which may be attributed to it being the LR HRRR.
 
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000
FXUS64 KFWD 040102
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
802 PM CDT Sun Apr 3 2022

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Monday Night/

Bottom Line:
Rain and thunderstorm chances begin increasing across North and
Central Texas this evening/tonight with the potential for a few
strong storms capable of producing small hail and strong wind
gusts in our northwestern zones. The threat for strong and severe
thunderstorms will increase late Monday afternoon through Monday
night region-wide. All hazards including large hail, damaging
winds, and a few tornadoes are possible Monday. Additionally,
heavy rainfall may result in localized urban and small stream
flooding despite ongoing drought conditions.

Meteorological Analysis:
In response to the modest southerly breeze in place this
afternoon, the poleward transport of Gulf moisture has served to
sharpen a diffuse western north-central Texas surface dryline,
extending from Quanah, TX southwestward towards Midland, TX. The
warm sector is further outlined by a quasi-stationary cold front,
associated with a northern stream shortwave trough advancing
across the Northern Plains. Surface analysis showed the cold front
draped from near Topeka in northeastern KS, to Cherokee in
northwestern OK, to Childress in the southern TX panhandle.
Regional radars indicate the initiation of convection in a fairly
narrow corridor just ahead of the dryline. In this region,
synoptic-scale ascent associated with the deepening upper trough
to our west is arriving while localized lift focused along the
dryline/cold front, low-level warm advection/surface heating, and
a strengthening low-level jet which is sending a deep surge of
moisture east of the dryline is supporting thunderstorm
development.

Latest high-resolution model guidance suggests that instability
is locally confined along and just ahead of the dryline with a
semi-discrete/discrete supercellular convective mode favored due
to increasing effective shear and the orientation of mid-level
flow in relation to the surface boundary. This activity is progged
to move eastward through the late evening, crossing our
northwestern/western zones overnight. As the convection becomes
further displaced from the boundary, the environment will become
less supportive of severe weather, however a few thunderstorms may
still be strong enough to carry a threat for small hail and gusty
downdraft winds. Even the most aggressive CAMs do not maintain
convection to the Interstate 35 corridor so it is likely that most
of North Texas will remain dry tonight. Low PoPs have been
maintained across parts of North Texas through daybreak Monday as
additional showers and sub-severe thunderstorms may develop in the
vicinity of residual outflow boundaries from decaying convection.

By Monday morning, the stalled front will have settled over
south-central Oklahoma and far western North Texas. Convective
activity through the morning hours should remain anchored near
this boundary though there is the potential for a few shallow warm
advection showers to develop across North and Central Texas as
low-level flow continues to transport moisture into the region
(dewpoints near 60 degrees approaching the Red River). Most areas
are likely to remain dry throughout much of the day however due to
the absence of forcing in the lower levels and the delayed
erosion of the EML/MLCIN. Though cloud cover will generally
inhibit diurnal heating, ongoing WAA and steepening mid-level
lapse rates ahead of the approaching upper trough will lead to
eventual destabilization as the nearly stationary front north of
the region begins to be pulled south/southeast into our western
zones.

Convective intensity and coverage is expected to increase Monday
evening and into the overnight hours as surface-based
thunderstorms erupt near the front/dryline. Vertical veering of
wind profiles with height should favor discrete supercells
initially, with the highest potential further south in
southwestern Central Texas along the dryline with large hail,
damaging wind gusts, and a tornado or two possible. Upscale
development into larger clusters and eventually an eastward-
advancing QLCS continues to be the most probable evolution as
storms will likely struggle to remain discrete amid the
increasing low-level jet and deep-layer flow parallel to portions
of the surface boundary. The CAMs have favored this evolution for
several runs even as mesoscale details have wavered. This
convective activity will progressively march across most of North
and Central Texas before midnight. While the tornado and large
hail threat will be higher with any storms that manage to remain
discrete, the environment is still likely to be supportive of all
severe weather hazards including areas of widespread damaging
winds and a few embedded QLCS tornadoes given the strong low level
shear in place. The general timing for the peak severe weather
threat across our forecast area will be 7 PM CDT Monday to 12 AM
CDT Tuesday, so it is very important for everyone to have multiple
methods of receiving warnings through the overnight hours. In
addition to the severe weather threat, locally high rain rates may
result in isolated minor flooding, especially in low-lying and
flood prone areas, despite the anticipated progressive pace of
convection.
 
I hope the HRRR is correct on SBCAPE lagging a good bit behind the warm front or your going to have a nasty tornado along that. Kinda turns into a triple point around 5-6 o'clock in the morning, *on the mesolow .HRRRSE_con_uphlysw_036.png
 
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Something else I've noticed that kind've bothers me. A meso low is now starting to be forecasted to develop around the middle of the Mississippi/Alabama state line. Hm.
 
Lousy low level lapse rates will probably derail your tornado chances but still a lot of moving pieces right now, last post for the night. ?
 
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Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR
EASTERN LA INTO SOUTHERN MS/AL...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GA AND SOUTHERN
SC...

...SUMMARY...
A broad area of severe-thunderstorm potential will exist across
portions of the southern and southeastern U.S. on Tuesday,
especially from the central Gulf Coast vicinity into
central/southern Georgia and southern South Carolina. A swath of
damaging wind gusts and several tornadoes are possible.

...Synopsis...
A midlevel shortwave trough is forecast over the Ozarks to Sabine
Valley Tuesday morning, and will shift east across the Mid-South to
the Mid-Atlantic by the end of the period. Strong deep-layer
southwesterly flow will overspread the south/southeastern U.S. ahead
of the trough, with a 50+ kt 850 mb low-level jet oriented from
southern MS into southern/central AL and GA/SC. Surface features
will be somewhat nebulous, with a lack of strong cyclogenesis.
However, low-level southerlies will maintain strong warm advection
and mid/upper 60s dewpoints will spread north across the Deep South
into GA and eastern NC. This will aid in moderate destabilization
ahead of an eastward-advancing QLCS expected to be oriented roughly
from western MS into central LA. Given abundant boundary-layer
moisture, moderate instability, and strong shear, a broad area of
severe potential will exist across much of the south/southeast U.S.
through Tuesday evening. The greatest threat will exist across the
Enhanced risk (level 3 of 5) area from eastern LA/southern MS into
southern AL, central/southern GA and southern SC.

...LA/MS...

There is quite a bit of discrepancy regarding where the ongoing
storm cluster or QLCS will be located Tuesday morning. Given this
uncertainty, the western fringes of the outlook area may need
adjusted in subsequent outlooks. Nevertheless, a roughly north-south
oriented line of storms should track across southern MS and portions
of central/eastern LA during the morning. Strong wind fields and a
storm-motion vector orthogonal to the QLCS will support a
damaging-wind threat, as well as a mesovortex tornado threat. Some
guidance suggests that some airmass recovery could occur during the
afternoon in the wake of morning convection, and another round of
strong to severe thunderstorms could occur. This remains highly
uncertain, but will need to be monitored.

...AL/GA/SC...

Midlevel flow will rapidly increase during the late morning/early
afternoon as the 50+ kt low-level jet overspreads the region. The
QLCS is expected to be maintained and shift east across the region
during the afternoon into early evening. Similar to LA/MS during the
morning, enlarged low-level hodographs will support mesovortex
and/or embedded supercell tornadoes within the line, in addition to
a swatch of damaging gusts. Less certain is how much, if any,
discrete convection develops ahead of the eastward-advancing QLCS.
If discrete supercells develop, there is some potential for strong
tornadoes given strong low-level shear amid rich boundary-layer
moisture. Uncertainty regarding the development of discrete
convection will preclude sig tor probs at this time, but may be
needed in later outlooks across portions of at least AL/GA.

...Portions of Eastern Coastal FL...

Stronger large-scale ascent will remain focused to the north of the
area. Nevertheless, low 70s surface dewpoints and strong heating
will support strong destabilization through peak heating. Effective
shear magnitudes around 30-35 kt will support organized cells along
the sea breeze boundary during the afternoon. Locally strong gusts
and marginal hail will be possible with these storms. Low-level
winds will be somewhat weak, but small, favorably curved hodographs
are forecast. A tornado or two could occur with any storm located
immediately along the sea breeze boundary where low-level shear will
be maximized.
 
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SPC AC 040726

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN AL...NORTHERN GA...UPSTATE SC...FAR WESTERN NC
AND SOUTHEAST TN...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing swaths of damaging gusts
and tornadoes are expected across a broad area from the Deep South
into the southern Appalachians on Wednesday. The greatest risk area
will encompass portions of central/northern Alabama into southeast
Tennessee, far western North Carolina/South Carolina and northern
Georgia.

...Deep South to the Southern Appalachians...

A closed upper low and its attendant trough will deep and shift east
from the Plains to the Upper Great Lakes/MS Valley on Wednesday.
This will maintain deep-layer southwesterly flow across the Gulf
Coast states into the Mid-Atlantic, resulting in a broad
warm-advection regime ahead of the trough. A strong low-level jet
around 40-50 kt will be somewhat more focused across parts of MS/AL
into the Carolinas ahead of a strong surface cold front. This
surface front is forecast to extend roughly from southeast MO into
east-central TX Wednesday morning, while a warm front extends from
the southern TN border into Upstate SC. The warm front should lift
north into NC and possibly southern VA late in the period while the
cold front sweeps eastward across the Mid-South and central Gulf
Coast.

A seasonally moist boundary layer will exist ahead of the surging
cold front, with surface dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s across much
of the southern/southeastern U.S. This will aid in moderate
destabilization of a strongly sheared environment. Deep-layer flow
largely parallel to the surface cold front will support linear
convection, with another QLCS sweeping east across the southern U.S.
likely. A swath of damaging gusts will accompany organized
convection through the daytime across parts of MS/AL/TN/GA and into
the southern Appalachians, the Carolinas and southern GA/northern FL
during the evening/overnight. While damaging gusts appear the most
likely hazard at this time, tornado potential will exist as well,
both within the QLCS/mesovortices and in any semi-discrete
convection should it develop ahead of the line.

..Leitman.. 04/04/2022
 
tempo47 said:
Between tuesday and wed which has the biggest threat for tornados?
Click to expand...
Tuesday for sure, unless some mesoscale features pop up wensday and change the risk some.

Your main threat wensday should be just damaging winds and hail, with a spin up or two.

Tuesday is going to have a lot of wind damage but qcls spin ups and discreet cells with a accompanying tornado risk are more possible Tuesday than wensday.

Albeit with that being said your still 2 days out with wensdays threat even with small hodograph and not much speed shear you could see a few touchdowns if your directional shear and 0-3km instability and lapse rates are sufficient.
 
PEA_RIDGE said:
TUESDAY = BHAM SOUTH FOR TORNADO
WEDNESDAY = NEAR MONTGOMERY AND POINTS NORTH

ALTHOUGH ANYWHERE IN THE COLORED AREAS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
Click to expand...
Your going to be hard pressed getting much threat north of a line from Montgomery to Selma on Tuesday unless that line moves out quick even then your shear is going to be hightailing it out of there before your unstable atmosphere gets in place.
 
PEA_RIDGE said:
TUESDAY = BHAM SOUTH FOR TORNADO
WEDNESDAY = NEAR MONTGOMERY AND POINTS NORTH

ALTHOUGH ANYWHERE IN THE COLORED AREAS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
Click to expand...
Sweet, here in LaGrange, GA, we are both south of BHAM and North of Montgomery. We get to be in both circles. This does have the feel of one of those systems that produces one renegade supercell that goes on for like 3 hours.
 
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