• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

Dawgdaze22 said:
Hate to ask a backyard question but I’m still learning, how do soundings etc look for north metro Atlanta on Sunday?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

You better hope everything is a linear mess in GA because if you get discrete supercells in this kind of environment, you're basically gonna get a super tornado outbreak.

1586370729000.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
You better hope everything is a linear mess in GA because if you get discrete supercells in this kind of environment, you're basically gonna get a super tornado outbreak.

View attachment 38681
Click to expand...

Turning like that coupled with insane wind energy and solid CAPE is just a recipe for disaster, with that type of wind energy it only takes 100-200jkgs of cape to stir things up.. those soundings are scary
 
And we certainly don't need a tornado outbreak right now with everything else going on with the coronavirus.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Turning like that coupled with insane wind energy and solid CAPE is just a recipe for disaster, with that type of wind energy it only takes 100-200jkgs of cape to stir things up.. those soundings are scary
Click to expand...

As scary looking as these soundings are this is just a global model, just wait til a model like the NAM gets into range....
 
I know it's pretty early to tell, but based on what we've got is this looking more like an Eastern NC threat or is the GSO area in the mix as well? I live in Greensboro in a 3rd floor apartment with no viable safe place to go in my immediate area (complex doesn't have any and 1st floor neighbors are basically never home).
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Bringing this sounding up again, Becuase there’s some many similarities View attachment 38683
Click to expand...

Yep, there really are in a very scary way. The difference maker to me is going to be the low-level lapse rates & CAPE here which will be highly determined by mesoscale evolution and timing, we actually have more deep layer shear present in this event and our SRH is surprisingly pretty comparable (not good).
 
Bryce- @Midlands_Wx said:
What're yalls thoughts for central and southern SC?
Click to expand...
Not much different from N.C. atm, down there you’re basically trading less low level shear for more CAPE instead. Issues wrt storm mode and timing just like NC are unresolved question marks that will play a big role in the tor threat
 
Webberweather53 said:
Not much different from N.C. atm, down there you’re basically trading less low level shear for more CAPE instead. Issues wrt storm mode and timing just like NC are unresolved question marks that will play a big role in the tor threat
Click to expand...

Morehead city is starting to talk about the chances and also strong gradient winds especially along the coast.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top