4/11/20 - 4/13/20 Severe Weather Outbreak

[Ron Burgundy]

NWS, local Mets, models etc... tomorrow will give most here in Georgia and East Alabama a better picture.


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Atlanta has always seemed to be about the odd, outlier events. March ‘08, March ‘75, April ‘98, June ‘13. As with most things ATL, there always seems to be a weird element to the tornadoes that hit the city.

 

[Zander98al]

Dont look at the 00z hrrr. Its a little sickening for central alabama????

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Dont look at the 00z hrrr. Its a little sickening for central alabama

Can you post it in here?


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[LithiaWx]

March 2008 remains undefeated in my lifetime for ATL. Pretty sure it was a 2% marginal risk that night also LOL

That’s 1st in my book. That was also a multiple day outbreak.


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March 2-3, 2012

 

[DustinWx]

Guys can we take historical analogs that aren’t directly relevant to banter?


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[Dawgdaze22]

Any new models for metro Atlanta recently?


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[Zander98al]

 

[DustinWx]

Also stop asking about metro Atlanta. Look in the thread for your answers or maybe look at a model yourself? We all want to know what will happen


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[Myfrotho704_]

Classic pseudo warm front across the SE with elevated convection right on north side of it, any storm that rides that boundary/set up near it could get ugly

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Almost looks as if this HRRR likes the idea of a few discreet cells.

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Also stop asking about metro Atlanta. Look in the thread for your answers or maybe look at a model yourself? We all want to know what will happen


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I asked for recent models, and currently don’t have access to pivotal weather or anything of the sorts so i apologize


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[BufordWX]

This will be the area to watch over the next few hours. Most CAMs have storms developing across the border and moving into Texas during the overnight hours tonight and pushing to the northeast. Already got one supercell moving in now.View attachment 39041

Tornado Watch just issued for this area. Decently high probabilities.

 

[Stump]

I don’t know if this is the place but how is the storm near Brackettville,TX not warned?

 

[TheBatman]

I asked for recent models, and currently don’t have access to pivotal weather or anything of the sorts so i apologize


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Models photo shots have been posted on here if you check the other pages. ?

 

[ontherocks]

I asked for recent models, and currently don’t have access to pivotal weather or anything of the sorts so i apologize


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Try tropicaltidbits.com it’s pretty easy to navigate, free, and you can try to run some models and watch your area....

 

[BufordWX]

I don’t know if this is the place but how is the storm near Brackettville,TX not warned?

Yeah, this one is trying to get that look.

 

[ryan1234]

Tornado Watch just issued for this area. Decently high probabilities.View attachment 39049View attachment 39048

Pretty uncommon for that part of TX. Sure they get severe wx, but those probabilities are very high.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

pretty much every shower/storm that has over 30 dbz in NC on the hrrr has a kidney bean shape, lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

LLvL jet so strong you can literally see stripes of reflectivity on the hrrr ahead of the line, wow

 

[Jessy89]

LLvL jet so strong you can literally see stripes of reflectivity on the hrrr ahead of the line, wow View attachment 39052

The question is how many of those will be rotating at 7-8am?


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