Severe 3/3-6 2025 Severe

[jrips27]

 

[jrips27]

Hatched area added

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

A little breezy

 

[jrips27]

Lots of models with widespread 55-65mph gusts. Even if this really means 40-50mph that’s gonna do some damage

 

[Shaggy]

Wilmington is saying we could gust 40-50 outside of the showers Wednesday before the storms even arrive. Quite the LLJ overhead.

A dynamic low level jet with wind
speeds up to 60 knots below 2k ft AGL will have little
resistance mixing to the surface in stronger embedded showers.
Gusts up in excess of 40 or 50 mph could be possible outside of
showers on Wednesday morning.

 

[weather bubba]

Even without the enhanced chance for severe weather that NWS Raleigh mentioned in their forecast and taking into account these wind maps are probably overdone, these wind maps show that things are going to get rough for some folks on Wednesday.

 

[jrips27]

Today has really uptrended over OK

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hmm

 

[BufordWX]

Today has really uptrended over OK

Im not looking forward to this. Went 10% tornado as well and its a middle of the night event as well.

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

This looks so close to a carbon copy of the last system. The dynamics with this system are super impressive. If we had sufficient instability over a broad area tomorrow would be a completely different story. With that said we all saw what happened a couple weeks ago. It won't take much instability tomorrow/tomorrow night to cause issues with damaging winds.

 

[jrips27]

 

[LukeBarrette]

Hmm View attachment 171430View attachment 171431View attachment 171432

We said the same thing LMAO
"Hmmmm"

 

[LukeBarrette]

Really hoping this trends better so I can chase the afternoon (I have a physical meteorology exam at 9 am on Wednesday). Need it to trend slower for better afternoon destabilization.

 

[Rain Cold]

Really hoping this trends better so I can chase the afternoon (I have a physical meteorology exam at 9 am on Wednesday). Need it to trend slower for better afternoon destabilization.

Things have sped up from a couple days ago. It's a good thing instability is meager, because this would be a major severe outbreak otherwise.

 

[jrips27]

 

[LukeBarrette]

Need that cell in south-central VA like white women need starbucks

 

[jrips27]

 

[BufordWX]

 

[BufordWX]

Lot of updraft potential showing up on the HRRR for tonight. Its gonna be interesting to see how things play out.

 

[BufordWX]

The line is not wasting any time in forming.

 

[BufordWX]

And there is the tornado watch…

 

[BufordWX]

Things ramping up now.

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

He is sounding the alarm big time for this wind threat

 

[Brent]

He is sounding the alarm big time for this wind threat View attachment 171455

Yeah there is a lot of wind with this thing. No doubt about that

Like the wind threat doesn't even really end with the line at 5am here

 

[jrips27]

Pretty much unanimous agreement of widespread 40-50mph wind gusts with possibly 60+. Another thing that I believe could make this more impactful- we’re looking at several hours of high winds versus your typical squall line where high winds last 10 minutes.

 

[jrips27]

Quick check of NWS forecasts and man they seem to really be lowballing the potential winds. FFC and BMX saying max gusts to 35-40mph whereas models are well into the 50’s and low 60’s. I know the models are likely overdone some but sheesh feels like some High Wind Warnings might be necessary in spots.

 

[Brent]

Enhanced is a big bust here

 

[Belle Lechat]

Texas

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

North Central Texas. This warning is unlike other recent ones in that it says

THIS STORM IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING 70 MPH WINDS AND
WIND DAMAGE NEAR DECATUR IN WISE COUNTY!

EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE.

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

WIND THREAT...OBSERVED

442 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
DENTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
EASTERN PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

SVR from KFWD

 

[Belle Lechat]

That's some intense looking tornadic area. And the lightning map in another post, it's the first time I've seen a blue concentration, same area.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Texas. According to 300k customers, each customer can be a family, without power in DFW area.




Love Field had a gust of 68 kts.

90 mph winds were approaching Collin County Regional Airport, but the anemometer there is no longer giving wind readings.

 

[Belle Lechat]

604 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

 

[Belle Lechat]

North of Austin. I was going to go outside, but then nope.

 

[Belle Lechat]

612 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

613 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...