• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Severe 3/17/21 Severe Weather Outbreak Al/Ms/Tn/Ar nowcast

Can someone explain why Huntsville NWS declined to put all the counties outlined by SPC in the watch? I've noticed this happens from time to time with different offices so just curious

If you're referring to the rectangular (parallelogram, you nerds) box vs the counties, the box is the Aviation Warning that's included with all SVR/TOR Watches. The "offset" is likely due to tilted updrafts, anvils, etc.
 
It strengthened again. This ones the real deal. Anybody got some gate to gate shear on it?
 
Mesoscale Discussion 0202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

Areas affected...Portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest
Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 29...

Valid 171702Z - 171800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 29 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong tornado threat will increase from Wayne county,
Mississippi to Marengo and Wilcox counties in Alabama over the next
1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Shower activity through the morning has continued to
deepen and a strong storm has developed in Jones County, MS. This
storm has quickly exhibited low-level rotation which is indicative
of the favorable low-level shear profile in this region. SPC
mesoanalysis shows an area of 300 to 400 m2/s2 of 0-3km SRH in this
region which is a result of southeasterly surface winds in local
observations in this area and a 50 knot south-southwesterly
low-level jet around 1.5km to 2km sampled by the KMOB and KDGX VWP.
The ongoing storm in this region in addition to any subsequent
development could pose a significant tornado threat given the
aforementioned favorable low-level shear profile and STP values
around 2 to 3.

..Bentley/Grams.. 03/17/2021
 
Back
Top