Brent
Member
Looks like it's time to repeat Beryl
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread
- Thread starter lexxnchloe
- Start date
- Status
NoSnowATL
Member
I think SAL will have more weight into the matrix when they start doing the predictions next year.
NoSnowATL
Member
Congratulation Big Bend.
lexxnchloe
Member
Euro develops a depression but ridging is gone.
Downeastnc
Member
Meanwhile in EPAC
Brent
Member
Brent
Member
August 20th is usually the date to watch. A lot of years have had a big flip around then
2017 is the big one recently... Harvey and Irma
Last edited:
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
The 1010mb low in the MDR is what the Euro develop
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND
LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2024
We have slightly increased our forecast and continue to call for an extremely active
Atlantic hurricane season in 2024. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the
hurricane Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean remain near
record warm levels. Extremely warm sea surface temperatures provide a much more
conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and
intensification. We anticipate cool neutral ENSO or La Niña during the peak of the
Atlantic hurricane season, resulting in reduced levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind
shear. Hurricane Beryl, a deep tropical Category 5 hurricane, is also a likely harbinger of
a hyperactive season. This forecast is of above-normal confidence. We anticipate a well
above-average probability for major hurricane landfalls along the continental United
States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are
reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season.
Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.
(as of 9 July 2024)
By Philip J. Klotzbach1
, Michael M. Bell2
, Alexander J. DesRosiers3
, and Levi G
LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2024
We have slightly increased our forecast and continue to call for an extremely active
Atlantic hurricane season in 2024. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the
hurricane Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean remain near
record warm levels. Extremely warm sea surface temperatures provide a much more
conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and
intensification. We anticipate cool neutral ENSO or La Niña during the peak of the
Atlantic hurricane season, resulting in reduced levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind
shear. Hurricane Beryl, a deep tropical Category 5 hurricane, is also a likely harbinger of
a hyperactive season. This forecast is of above-normal confidence. We anticipate a well
above-average probability for major hurricane landfalls along the continental United
States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are
reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season.
Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.
(as of 9 July 2024)
By Philip J. Klotzbach1
, Michael M. Bell2
, Alexander J. DesRosiers3
, and Levi G
lexxnchloe
Member
If CSU is right something better start to happen really soon
Brent
Member
19* thats counting the 4 we had but as long as we get 2-3 more this month I think it's doable. September has crossed double digits before and October has a second peak
lexxnchloe
Member
Euro still has what is a weak storm
snowc
Member
There's more storms?!
- Status