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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

GFS similar to Euro AI. Double trouble


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At this point when considering the ensembles, Euro Weeklies, projected MJO, the weak La Niña, and very warm W Caribbean SSTs, I’d be surprised if a TS+ doesn’t originate in the W Caribbean in very late Oct or early Nov. Hopefully it stays away from S FL and the rest of the US! If I were in Cuba and the Bahamas, I’d be especially aware.
 
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