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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

Code Red

A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or
subtropical depression or storm is likely to form late this weekend
or early next week while the system moves eastward or northeastward
across the Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Florida Peninsula and
the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, locally heavy
rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or
two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...
70 percent.
 
Brent said:
Code Red

A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or
subtropical depression or storm is likely to form late this weekend
or early next week while the system moves eastward or northeastward
across the Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Florida Peninsula and
the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, locally heavy
rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or
two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...
70 percent.
Click to expand...
Invest tomorrow
 
Brent said:
Or now apparently 🤣

``AL, 92, 2024100500, , BEST, 0, 220N, 955W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS028, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028, SPAWNINVEST, al712024 to al922024,``
Click to expand...
Dang....I'm good 🤣😂🤣😂

You ever see a name like this? On Tropical tidbits....

92L GENESIS028
 
Henry2326 said:
Dang....I'm good 🤣😂🤣😂

You ever see a name like this? On Tropical tidbits....

92L GENESIS028
Click to expand...

I just saw this but I think 28 was the test number they use(they always run tests before they go public) and maybe due to the threat happening so quickly last night they forgot to remove it 🤣

Also more storms on the GFS... Remember when the hurricane season was dead?
 
Go back to my post for both set of ensembles on Friday. Oct 17 was a big day on the GFS ensemble. So not really surprised that the operational has something then. Ensembles are a bit delayed from the operational now, but its there.
This is the third run of the GPS with a third storm.

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_watl_47.png

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_watl_42.png
 
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Henry2326 said:
Go back to my post for both set of ensembles on Friday. Oct 17 was a big day on the GFS ensemble. So not really surprised that the operational has something then. Ensembles are a bit delayed from the operational now, but its there.
This is the third run of the GPS with a third storm.

View attachment 152671

View attachment 152672
Click to expand...
6z still has it

1728211444969.png
hits FLA further south

1728212176329.png




1728212273422.png
 
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The week 9/30-10/6 this year is the 2nd most active 9/30-10/6 in terms of ACE back to 1951! Only 2016 had more ACE and that was almost entirely due to Matthew, which was a MH every day of that week.
 
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