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Severe 2024 Severe Discussion

Wonder how the coming ENSO neutral phase will add to the possibility of Severe Weather as we head into April-May?
 
That look if it persists toward the end of the Euro run has caused significant problems in the past. Getting it closer than day seven is the problem.
 
Early next week has my attention for severe storms. Already an enhanced risk including OKC for Monday.21E30449-5D06-45CA-BE82-22C792973F53.png
 
Tommorows setup looks mid at best, behind the strat rain kinematics are high end, but dry punch aloft and a cap at 700mb looks to big limiting factor
 
Intense tornadoes are bad, yes? 🥴🥴D720F0C3-8AC6-42A3-983D-D08B69455E0D.png
 
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