• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical 2023 Tropical thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Much further west again

gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_48.png



Then it gets blocked and ends up here 4 days later with another storm on the way

gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_64.png
 
This should get the SSTs back to,below normal . Might help prevent a big warm nose from wrecking a winter storm with BL issues this winter. Assuming a threat shows up this season and we dont get skunked again.
 
Neither system showing up on the 6z GFS so far. Only a very weak system back near Africa at 324.
 
Pretty big shift west with what may eventually be Nigel on the 12z Euro, still curves before threatening EC but this run shows another potential threat to the NE (way out there in lala land however)

1694546713778.gif
 
Last edited:
lexxnchloe said:
Euro 0z last night

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_58.png



12z today well SW

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_watl_56.png
Click to expand...
What's the point of this post? Seriously there is post you commented on, with a gif showing this exact thing, you're dang near spamming the site with all these images you post and your wishcasting ?
 
metwannabe said:
What's the point of this post? Seriously there is post you commented on, with a gif showing this exact thing, you're dang near spamming the site with all these images you post and your wishcasting ?
Click to expand...
The point is the GFS has margot hanging around which pulls nigel up and out while the euro says margot is gone.
 
This guy is right in line with what we been discussing some. The Caribbean is super juiced up and the ole Hazel type tracks/ trof configurations could re-appear this fall opening a window.

I agree that it is fortuitous that no tropical cyclone has yet been able to take advantage of the low Carib. shear. However, there are signs that the pattern may begin to favor tropical development in the eastern/central Carib in the last 7-10 days of Sep


Image

Image

Image
Quote






ZhEwEzXd_mini.jpeg


Derek Ortt

@DerekOrtt
·
Sep 11
Replying to @WeatherProf and @philklotzbach
I'd say that the normal niño upper height gradient between the EPAC and Atlantic is not present as the Atlantic appears slightly warmer than the Pacific. Just happy no storm has been able to take advantage of the low Caribbean shear
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top