Tropical 2023 Tropical thread

[lexxnchloe]

Looking fishy again

Still there though.

 

[accu35]

Still there though.

I rather take the cool fronts

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[lexxnchloe]

Much further west again

Then it gets blocked and ends up here 4 days later with another storm on the way

 

[lexxnchloe]

View attachment 136976

I think this 999 low is what they are talking about. It could trend more south to the gom

 

[NCSNOW]

This should get the SSTs back to,below normal . Might help prevent a big warm nose from wrecking a winter storm with BL issues this winter. Assuming a threat shows up this season and we dont get skunked again.

 

[JHS]

Neither system showing up on the 6z GFS so far. Only a very weak system back near Africa at 324.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Neither system showing up on the 6z GFS so far. Only a very weak system back near Africa at 324.

Its there, it just recurves again

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[accu35]

I think this 999 low is what they are talking about. It could trend more south to the gom

We already had one gulf storm how many more do you want?

 

[lexxnchloe]

Maybe next season the 4 year trof will finally be gone.

Next aug looks exactly the same. Ridge texas trof east coast.

 

[Metwannabe]

Pretty big shift west with what may eventually be Nigel on the 12z Euro, still curves before threatening EC but this run shows another potential threat to the NE (way out there in lala land however)

 

[lexxnchloe]

Pretty big shift west with what my eventually be Nigel on the 12z Euro, still curves before threatening EC but this run shows another potential threat to the NE (way out there in lala land however)

View attachment 136987

The gfs at 12z is way east. Lets hope the GFS follows the euro at 18z

 

[lexxnchloe]

Euro 0z last night

12z today well SW

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro 0z last night

12z today well SW

What's the point of this post? Seriously there is post you commented on, with a gif showing this exact thing, you're dang near spamming the site with all these images you post and your wishcasting ?

 

[lexxnchloe]

What's the point of this post? Seriously there is post you commented on, with a gif showing this exact thing, you're dang near spamming the site with all these images you post and your wishcasting ?

The point is the GFS has margot hanging around which pulls nigel up and out while the euro says margot is gone.

 

[accu35]

The point is the GFS has margot hanging around which pulls nigel up and out while the euro says margot is gone.

It’s ok to post and have a passion like everyone of us, but your basically posting every run to run.

 

[NCSNOW]

This guy is right in line with what we been discussing some. The Caribbean is super juiced up and the ole Hazel type tracks/ trof configurations could re-appear this fall opening a window.

I agree that it is fortuitous that no tropical cyclone has yet been able to take advantage of the low Carib. shear. However, there are signs that the pattern may begin to favor tropical development in the eastern/central Carib in the last 7-10 days of Sep







Quote

Derek Ortt

@DerekOrtt
·
Sep 11
Replying to @WeatherProf and @philklotzbach
I'd say that the normal niño upper height gradient between the EPAC and Atlantic is not present as the Atlantic appears slightly warmer than the Pacific. Just happy no storm has been able to take advantage of the low Caribbean shear

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

Won't be too long before we have to start watching any fronts that come through getting hung up. Those are well known for popping off a system really close in.

 

[lexxnchloe]

The GFS is trying to get something going in the SW ATL