accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,448
- Reaction score
- 9,972
Keep us updated much as possibleMuch less fish looking moving NW and the high will have a chance to build eastward.
Keep us updated much as possibleMuch less fish looking moving NW and the high will have a chance to build eastward.
It’s also hr 384Hardest recurve in history.
Goes from here and rockets straight north
To here.
I have to think this is an aberration
Check the latest gfsIt’s also hr 384
You mean ride the spine of Cuba and get strong in the process? NopeEnd of the run. Will it happen?
Almost as close as 0z but then it heads ese6z Gfs have a 89 Hugo track if u asked me. Look at high pressure to East of storm and upper low west of storm.
As usual its thread the needle time for NC but its been consistent on the GFS.Keep these images in mind when talking about hugo vs the gfs hurricane. Hugo didn't have an outlet to the NE the gfs system does. If for some reason you want a hurricane hit that ridge over canada needs to be east of its location on the gfs. To not recurve a hurricane up the beaches or offshore the center of the blocking ridge has to be over SE canada/NE USView attachment 136959
View attachment 136961
That ULL low and potential capture is attention getting, if it's still there as time goes on. Certainly a signal for a system moving across the Atlantic, probably last CV system as a *possible* threat. Attention then gonna turn to Caribbean and GOMAny potential system later on would have to avoid the weaknesses from Margot and Lee. You can see the 0z euro turns it north in the Margot weakness. If it stays weaker west it can get under the weakness and make it toward the EC similar to gfs. I think this has a better shot at the SE coast than Lee but if it starts gaining latitude in the C Atl it'll recurve in the weaknesses or get picked up by the wave breaks on the eastern side of the big Canadian ridge. Also the gfs didn't steam roll into the US bc of these wave breaks it took the escape route E toward the trough not W toward the ULL similar to Joaquin, something to keep in mind since that cutoff around D8+ likely has legs with the big block over Can
Yeah I'd start watching the carribbean/gom once we get past this potential cutoff 9/25-10/10. If we start dropping troughs in the west and see the ridge over E Canada/E US the prospects of something in the Carib/Gom go way upThat ULL low and potential capture is attention getting, if it's still there as time goes on. Certainly a signal for a system moving across the Atlantic, probably last CV system as a *possible* threat. Attention then gonna turn to Caribbean and GOM