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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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2021 all over again . Remember tho GEFS caved to euro in the mid range


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Please explain to me where you're getting this conclusion. No models in the LR look remotely like February 2021. In fact, the 18z GEFS looked better than the 12z.
 
Please explain to me where you're getting this conclusion. No models in the LR look remotely like February 2021. In fact, the 18z GEFS looked better than the 12z.

This one lol
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This one lol
4e8a2606108a9a7c35b9beff245a08f1.jpg



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But there is a difference. Notice the lower heights over Hawaii. The stronger negative they are, the increased likelihood of a +PNA, because the ridge is pumped east. I've noticed patterns with many head-fakes like February 2021 that had a little signal over Hawaii, to begin with. There's no guarantee that we will have a +PNA, but I think it's foolish to get discouraged about a pattern longer than 10 days out. Take this stuff with a grain of salt.
 
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But there is a difference. Notice the lower heights over Hawaii. The stronger negative they are, the increased likelihood of a +PNA, because the ridge is pumped east. I've noticed that patterns with many heads are fake like February 2021 had a little signal over Hawaii, to begin with. There's no guarantee that we will have a +PNA, but I think it's foolish to get discouraged about a pattern longer than 10 days out. Take this stuff with a grain of salt.
I don’t know why y’all keep responding?? If it snowed balls deep to him, he’d complain about his balls being cold and it never snows! ? ?
 
I mean they somewhat agree lol. It would really suck to have another warm Christmas
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