Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[Carolina Sky]

It's all setting up nicely for a winter storm here towards Christmas.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Honestly might be the worst model out there.

Honestly I agree it’s even more weenie then 18z GFS

 

[troyc]

I for one would not complain about a foot of snow in Roanoke...Am i right Luke?

 

[LukeBarrette]

I for one would not complain about a foot of snow in Roanoke...Am i right Luke?

I wouldn’t complain about an inch of snow. I just want flakes at this point

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Honestly I agree it’s even more weenie then 18z GFS

I feel like there's a snow storm every day on the control lol

 

[FallsLake]

RAH (suppose this keeps the door open for wintery precip):

Wednesday through Friday: The forecast for the latter half of the
week decreases in confidence as model solutions begin to diverge
beyond 12Z Wed. The sub-tropical ridge will continue to migrate
eastward through the East Coast and offshore Wed/Wed night as the
next system approaches from the west. The biggest weather feature in
the extended will be an upper low over the northern Plains Wed. How
the low evolves and where it tracks are where the decrease in
confidence lies. Generally, it will migrate eastward through the
northern Plains Wed/Wed night, through the upper MS Valley and into
the OH Valley Thu/Thu night. At the surface, expect the cool wedge
airmass to be in place Wed as a cold front rapidly approaches from
the west-southwest. A warm front will lift northward ahead of the
approaching cold front, but if/how quickly it is able to move into
or through central NC will depend on the strength of the wedge and
track of a surface low that develops along the front over the Deep
South on Wed. It is too soon to say with much confidence which
solution, or some combination of the two, will prevail. Regardless
of the type (which for now should be all rain, though some wintry
precip cannot be completely ruled out at onset Wed), the best
chances for precipitation will be between Wed afternoon and Thu
evening. Have trended toward the warmer, slower ECMWF for
temperatures and arrival of precip.

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

I feel like there's a snow storm every day on the control lol

Joe Bustardi loves it. That should tell you to stay away from it lol

 

[Brent]

Oh boy how will this fail ?

 

[SnowNiner]

So, haven't had a chance to catch up today. Is it going to snow in the SE? Or are we still tracking long range table setters? ?

 

[ILMRoss]

So, haven't had a chance to catch up today. Is it going to snow in the SE? Or are we still tracking long range table setters? ?

we're all huffing the exhaust fan fumes coming off the supercomputers at ncep, the elation may be temporary but man does it feel good

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Backend womp. Just hoping for cold at this point. Which we’ll get

Beggars cant be choosers

 

[SASQUATCH]

Remember wen

 

[Tarheel1]

Hot dogs weigh down the server

----, these some footling bratwurst up in here!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

----, these some footling bratwurst up in here!

We are in the classic cold and dry, cool and rain pattern. Lol


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Ollie Williams]

View attachment 125295

Remember wen

I remember where and what I was doing when that run happened. Wished we had that archive thread that year.

 

[SASQUATCH]

I remember where and what I was doing when that run happened. Wished we had that archive thread that year.

It was glorious.

 

[J.C.]

I don't post much, much less dumb 10 day forecasts from TWC, but prolonged below average temps in Seattle is something else.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Backend was garbage on the GFS ? ?

 

[Bready86]

It’s a done deal now

 

[Oconeexman]

I come back to NC for the Holidays & I hope to see a big dog for old time's sake. I was out of town for the Dec 2010 storm

Good luck charm Eric