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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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I don’t want to be a downer….but the last few days of hype seems like we all got a little to excited. Seems like marginal cold at best and the storm systems seem to be going to far north for anything good around here. Can anyone explain how this pattern is a win for us? I know it’s hard for the southeast no matter what the pattern is.
 
LukeBarrette said:
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Table setter like we have been saying.

Get that snowpack up and wait for some energy to swing our way.
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Pain! But it was expected. We knew they were getting the first couple threats. Let's hope it continues to evolve as expected and we get ours too before all is said and done.
 
weatherfide said:
Are you saying it's weenie fuel for those that live in the SW part of the US through northern TX, AR, western TN and KY? It looks like the storm tracks are going to be just to the north of most in the southeast. The slightly below height anomalies are due to the cold fronts dragging through after the rain, right?
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You know better then to ask questions like this when your location doesn't say North Carolina.
 
Stevo24 said:
I don’t want to be a downer….but the last few days of hype seems like we all got a little to excited. Seems like marginal cold at best and the storm systems seem to be going to far north for anything good around here. Can anyone explain how this pattern is a win for us? I know it’s hard for the southeast no matter what the pattern is.
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The I95 corridor from DC to Boston averages 20-40 inches of snow a year. We average less that 5. As bad as it sucks we are never going to out snow them. Let them have it. If the blocking holds and each storm gets pushed further and further south hopefully we end up with ours.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
The I95 corridor from DC to Boston averages 20-40 inches of snow a year. We average less that 5. As bad as it sucks we are never going to out snow them. Let them have it. If the blocking holds and each storm gets pushed further and further south hopefully we end up with ours.
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Yeah I know. I’m just saying the past few days I have read multiple times that we will have many opportunities with this pattern. But I still think we will be lucky to have 1.
 
Stevo24 said:
Yeah I know. I’m just saying the past few days I have read multiple times that we will have many opportunities with this pattern. But I still think we will be lucky to have 1.
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You are probably right. At least here in the upstate even the best winters only produce somewhere between 1 to 3 events.
 
Stevo24 said:
I don’t want to be a downer….but the last few days of hype seems like we all got a little to excited. Seems like marginal cold at best and the storm systems seem to be going to far north for anything good around here. Can anyone explain how this pattern is a win for us? I know it’s hard for the southeast no matter what the pattern is.
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Because you’ve got to stop trying to look at specifics on op models more than a few days out. Pretty certain there’s gonna be a storm next week and it most likely favors the mountains, mid Atlantic and New England, and then it does usher in to us significantly below average cold air. Much of the Carolinas outside of the mountains are forecasted to be 5-8 degrees belo average next Friday and going forward. The time after next weeks storm is all about pattern recognition and the pattern favors winter weather potential in the southeast
 
Webberweather53 said:
As nice as that pattern looked on the GFS, the ECMWF just said hold my beer

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Brad P actually posting on Facebook that a colder pattern is coming next week. He said he’s not certain on wintry weather outside the mountains. Could he actually have the white flag in his hands?
 
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