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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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J.C. said:
February 2021 removed my soul from my body. Run after run of historic cold that never happened, then just to watch places like Dallas and Houston get days and days of below freezing weather, it would have been nice. I'm not the one really hoping for that, but a December that is only +2 or +3F would be a success at this point.
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This model run from Feb 2021 is still burned in my memory…tough scene

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Amazing with how dreary it's been, Anomalies are low with precip in some areas and temps are high in some areas thus far this month. Hope it's like last year and flips in January.
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BullCityWx said:
How does one let the OP GFS derail excitement over what’s coming? Like seriously.
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Rain Cold said:
Years of great LR pattern mirages, I think. It's like weather model PTSD. But I don't disagree with your premise.
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This, and I think you are seeing people react with a ton of skepticism from living in this part of the country. Excitement has to be tempered for cold and snow or disappointment and frustration are inevitable. And the reality is, for most outside the mountains, that cold is almost always an issue. People want to get excited and believe in the magic but reality and "PTSD" tend to jade folks.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
Christmas is gonna be fun
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️


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GFS was the "saved" bookmark on Pivotal and Tropical Tidbits, now it is going to be Ukie and CMC respectively. GFS is absolute garbage - basically it has gone the way of the DGEX and Navgem. Good riddance!
 
weatherfide said:
GFS was the "saved" bookmark on Pivotal and Tropical Tidbits, now it is going to be Ukie and CMC respectively. GFS is absolute garbage - basically it has gone the way of the DGEX and Navgem. Good riddance!
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Smart money machine if you think about it. Replace the good one with a bad version then ask for more funding.
 
severestorm said:
Smart money machine if you think about it. Replace the good one with a bad version then ask for more funding.
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I agree. I think there are some serious shenanigans going on at NCEP. It is evident that almost the entire U.S. government is corrupt at this point. It's all about 10% for the "big" guy. The "big" guy is not just Brandon, either. I like your theory. "Update" with a 2005 version of the GFS and then ask for more funding. Got to get a piece of that trillion dollar Covid relief!
 
Loganelliott99 said:
How reliable is the CFS? The last several runs have been a disaster


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Everything pretty much sucks beyond 200 hours esp below 500mb, how can you not see that? Calling models awful/pathetic/disaster at the lead times you are looking at surface maps is pretty pointless. You are going to drive yourself crazy, but whatevs.
 
SD said:
That wouldn't be good enough. We could have such negative anomalies we would break the color scale on tidbits and people would still complain its too warm or dry. You have to have the snow in the meta verse to make people happy now
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Some people don’t understand weather and have not paid their dues to be posting! They need to read more, post much, much , less!
 
The NAMs are good with surface temps, yes?? None of the locals are saying anything but rain, with possible onset pellets!? This looks a little more serious than that??28F0F94E-10DD-4BEC-8F4E-5FBDF5BDD42F.png5EB93584-74DB-43B6-B6E0-7716AB9EB9A4.pngEFCDFFE9-11F1-4106-BAC5-B5569C6EAF27.png
 
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