Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

? . Finally some agreement

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Well, I hope it's wrong like any 300 hr map. But that's Cohen's thoughts exactly in that map. He's wrong a lot like everybody so take it for what it's worth.

 

[Tarheel1]

Well, I hope it's wrong like any 300 hr map. But that's Cohen's thoughts exactly in that map. He's wrong a lot like everybody so take it for what it's worth.

He’s a clown! I’d be way more concerned if he was calling for a very cold East!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Well, I hope it's wrong like any 300 hr map. But that's Cohen's thoughts exactly in that map. He's wrong a lot like everybody so take it for what it's worth.

Yeah it definitely has me concerned especially considering it’s the GEFS that’s consistently showing a warm up right around Christmas


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[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Well, I hope it's wrong like any 300 hr map. But that's Cohen's thoughts exactly in that map. He's wrong a lot like everybody so take it for what it's worth.

You know how it is lol. A trough can only stay in the east for a couple of days while they can stay in the west for 3 months


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[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

The entire southeast should be named the armpit of hell

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[Stevo24]

The entire southeast should be named the armpit of hell

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I’ll bet you 20 bucks it’s not gonna be warm at Christmas.

 

[SnowNiner]

I don't know. I see it cooling down end of December, but I don't see it going to get cold enough for a winter storm in mby, save some icy wedgey shenanigans maybe. I really think we need the trough to come east imo for a great pattern. Central conus looks to benefit the most next few weeks I think.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I don't know. I see it cooling down end of December, but I don't see it going to get cold enough for a winter storm in mby, save some icy wedgey shenanigans maybe. I really think we need the trough to come east imo for a great pattern. Central conus looks to benefit the most next few weeks I think.

I’m sorry but I disagree, both ensembles, even the warmer GEFS has mean highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s/upper 20s already for your area, that’s a pretty cold pattern for SE standards, if it was in the 50s everyday I’d agree, but mid 40s/upper 20s and low 30s is dominating on smoothed out means, that’s pretty cold by NC standards

 

[SnowNiner]

I’m sorry but I disagree, both ensembles, even the warmer GEFS has mean highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s/upper 20s already for your area, that’s a pretty cold pattern for SE standards, if it was in the 50s everyday I’d agree, but mid 40s/upper 20s and low 30s is dominating on smoothed out means, that’s pretty cold by NC standards View attachment 125373View attachment 125374View attachment 125375View attachment 125376

Thanks man, and thank you for using Statesville as my area, reminded me I'm not in CLT anymore! lol. Yeah I get it, it can produce with 20s/40s. but when you start throwing in systems in and WAA, a cool pattern usually isn't enough in my anecdotal experience. And with the trough in the west/midwest I envision many of our systems trying to go to our west/ trying to cut before being shunted by the block.

With the trough to the east I just like the door it opens for bringing more cold and keeping the storm digging to the south as much as possible. To me that's a great pattern, the missing element. But yeah, it certainly can Miller B us. Just a whiney preference I guess.

 

[Goose88]

Spann has been posting a few times a day about the upcoming pattern change

 

[ATLwxfan]

Headed to Whistler the week before Xmas. The ski resorts out West are going to be frigid.


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[Oconeexman]

Heating up that IGNORE button this morning! Man some of the riff raff on this site...smdh

 

[BullCityWx]

Heating up that IGNORE button this morning! Man some of the riff raff on this site...smdh

How does one let the OP GFS derail excitement over what’s coming? Like seriously.

 

[Oconeexman]

Atlanta Dec average
55/36
Atlanta snowfall in December average
.12"
Just some random facts

 

[Oconeexman]

How does one let the OP GFS derail excitement over what’s coming? Like seriously.

It's fooking annoying brother

 

[Snowfan]

The new name of the GFS should be Garbage Forecasting System

 

[Rain Cold]

How does one let the OP GFS derail excitement over what’s coming? Like seriously.

Years of great LR pattern mirages, I think. It's like weather model PTSD. But I don't disagree with your premise.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Heat bots taking over the main thread. We’re in desperate need of a -30 departure from normal 12z weenie run right now

 

[SD]

Heat bots taking over the main thread. We’re in desperate need of a -30 departure from normal 12z weenie run right now

That wouldn't be good enough. We could have such negative anomalies we would break the color scale on tidbits and people would still complain its too warm or dry. You have to have the snow in the meta verse to make people happy now

 

[J.C.]

Years of great LR pattern mirages, I think. It's like weather model PTSD. But I don't disagree with your premise.

February 2021 removed my soul from my body. Run after run of historic cold that never happened, then just to watch places like Dallas and Houston get days and days of below freezing weather, it would have been nice. I'm not the one really hoping for that, but a December that is only +2 or +3F would be a success at this point.